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[从症状到诊断——症状检查器的重新评估:症状检查器最终是否足以准确使用?来自耳鼻喉科视角的最新情况]

[From symptom to diagnosis-symptom checkers re-evaluated : Are symptom checkers finally sufficient and accurate to use? An update from the ENT perspective].

作者信息

Nateqi J, Lin S, Krobath H, Gruarin S, Lutz T, Dvorak T, Gruschina A, Ortner R

机构信息

Symptoma GmbH, Neuhofen 5, 4864, Attersee am Attersee, Österreich.

出版信息

HNO. 2019 May;67(5):334-342. doi: 10.1007/s00106-019-0666-y.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Every seventh diagnosis is a misdiagnosis. Each year, 1.5 million lives could be saved worldwide with the correct diagnosis. Physicians have to consider over 20,000 diseases. A study from Harvard University published in 2015 tested 19 symptom checkers and found them to be insufficient, with only 29-71% accuracy in diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE

The current study investigates the diagnostic accuracy of new symptom checkers from an ENT perspective.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The authors update the abovenamed diagnostic accuracy comparison by (1) including the five new symptom checkers Symptoma, Ada, FindZebra, Mediktor, and Babylon; and (2) normalizing results of the previously tested symptom checkers as to reflect each diagnostic accuracy based on the same set of patient vignettes. The winner is then compared to the two symptom checkers with the most scientific evidence, namely Isabel and FindZebra, on the basis of an ENT-specific test with patient vignettes sourced from the British Medical Journal.

RESULTS

Most of the new symptom checkers demonstrated diagnostic accuracy rates within the previously established range, with the exception of Symptoma, which scored the right diagnosis in 82.2% of cases at the top of the list (+38% points), and in 100% of cases in the top 3 (+29% points) and the top 10 (+16% points), thus raising the bar in this field. The cross-validation with ENT cases resulted in a diagnostic accuracy of 64.3 vs. 21.4 vs. 26.2% (top 1), 92.9 vs. 40.5 vs. 42.9% (top 3), and 100 vs. 61.9 vs. 54.8% (top 10) for Symptoma vs. Isabel vs. FindZebra, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Symptoma is the first and only viable solution in this market. Large-scale studies should be conducted to further validate these results as well as to assess the actual practical performance of the symptom checkers and their ability to diagnose rare diseases.

摘要

背景

每七次诊断中就有一次是误诊。每年,全球若能做出正确诊断,可挽救150万人的生命。医生必须考虑20000多种疾病。哈佛大学2015年发表的一项研究对19种症状检查程序进行了测试,发现它们存在不足,诊断准确率仅为29%-71%。

目的

本研究从耳鼻喉科角度调查新型症状检查程序的诊断准确率。

材料与方法

作者通过以下方式更新上述诊断准确率比较:(1)纳入5种新型症状检查程序Symptoma、Ada、FindZebra、Mediktor和Babylon;(2)对先前测试的症状检查程序的结果进行归一化处理,以便根据同一组患者病例 vignettes反映每种诊断准确率。然后,在一项针对耳鼻喉科的测试中,将获胜者与有最多科学证据的两种症状检查程序(即Isabel和FindZebra)进行比较,该测试的患者病例 vignettes来自《英国医学杂志》。

结果

大多数新型症状检查程序的诊断准确率在先前确定的范围内,但Symptoma除外,它在列表顶部的病例中82.2%做出了正确诊断(提高了38个百分点),在前三名病例中100%做出了正确诊断(提高了29个百分点),在前十名病例中100%做出了正确诊断(提高了16个百分点),从而提高了该领域的标准。与耳鼻喉科病例的交叉验证结果显示,Symptoma、Isabel和FindZebra在第一名的诊断准确率分别为64.3%、21.4%和26.2%,在前三名的诊断准确率分别为92.9%、40.5%和42.9%,在前十名的诊断准确率分别为100%、61.9%和54.8%。

结论

Symptoma是该市场上首个也是唯一可行的解决方案。应开展大规模研究以进一步验证这些结果,并评估症状检查程序的实际性能及其诊断罕见疾病的能力。

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