Advanced Clinical Simulation Center, Faculty of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain.
Advanced Medical Life Support, Health Emergencies Management of Castilla y León, Spain.
Shock. 2020 Feb;53(2):164-170. doi: 10.1097/SHK.0000000000001356.
The knowledge of the prognostic value of prehospital lactate (PLA) is limited. Our objective was to evaluate the predictive capacity of PLA to predict early mortality (within 48 h) from the index event in acute cardiovascular disease (ACVD).
Prospective, longitudinal, multicenter, observational study in patients, attended by advanced life support units, transferred to the emergency department of their reference hospital and diagnosed with ACVD. We collected demographic, physiological, clinical, analytical variables, main cardiological diagnosis, and data on hospital admission and early mortality. The main outcome variable was mortality from any cause within 2 days.
Between March 1, 2018 and January 31, 2019, a total of 492 patients were included in our study. Early mortality after the index event within the first 48 h affected 27 patients (5.5%). The most frequent cause of care demand was chest pain with 223 cases (45.3%). The predictive power of PLA to discriminate mortality at 2 days obtained an area under the curve of 0.911 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83-0.98, P < 0.001). A value equal or superior to 4.3 mmol/L globally attained a sensitivity of 92.6% (95% CI, 76.6-97.9) with a specificity of 82.8% (95% CI, 79.1-86.0), with a positive predictive value of 23.8 (16.7-32.8) and a negative predictive value of 99.5 (98.1-99.9).
PLA represents a prognostic biomarker with excellent predictive capacity for ACVD. Prehospital Emergency Services (PhEMS) should incorporate this test routinely in their usual procedures.
关于院前乳酸(PLA)的预后价值的知识有限。我们的目的是评估 PLA 预测急性心血管疾病(ACVD)指数事件后 48 小时内早期死亡率(2 天内)的能力。
前瞻性、纵向、多中心、观察性研究,纳入由高级生命支持单位救治、转至参考医院急诊科并诊断为 ACVD 的患者。我们收集了人口统计学、生理学、临床、分析变量、主要心脏病学诊断以及住院和早期死亡率数据。主要结局变量为任何原因导致的 2 天内死亡。
2018 年 3 月 1 日至 2019 年 1 月 31 日,共纳入 492 例患者。指数事件后 48 小时内早期死亡率在 2 天内影响了 27 例患者(5.5%)。需求护理最常见的原因是胸痛,共 223 例(45.3%)。PLA 区分 2 天死亡率的预测能力的曲线下面积为 0.911(95%置信区间[CI]:0.83-0.98,P<0.001)。PLA 值等于或大于 4.3mmol/L 时,其总体敏感性为 92.6%(95%CI:76.6-97.9),特异性为 82.8%(95%CI:79.1-86.0),阳性预测值为 23.8%(16.7-32.8),阴性预测值为 99.5%(98.1-99.9)。
PLA 是一种具有出色预测能力的 ACVD 预后生物标志物。院前急救服务(PhEMS)应将此测试常规纳入其常规程序。