Sikora-Skrabaka Magdalena, Skrabaka Damian, Ruggeri Paolo, Caramori Gaetano, Skoczyński Szymon, Barczyk Adam
Department of Pneumonology, School of Medicine in Katowice, Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland.
Department of Clinical Oncology, Provincial Specialist Hospital No. 4 in Bytom, Bytom, Poland.
J Thorac Dis. 2019 Mar;11(3):664-672. doi: 10.21037/jtd.2019.02.88.
Pulmonary embolism (PE) is the third most common cause of death for cardiovascular diseases in Europe. Quick PE diagnosis is therefore crucial for prognosis improvement. It is critical to have suitable screening tests both to exclude PE as well to select patient with highest likelihood of PE occurrence. Currently D-dimer test is accepted as important tool useful to exclude PE in low risk patients. Our goal was to assess the D-dimer test positive prognostic value.
A retrospective study based on medical record analysis of consecutively admitted patients to 9 wards of The University Clinical Center in Katowice who were hospitalized during four consecutive years was performed. Three hundred and seventy patients met the inclusion criteria for the study, which involved the D-dimer tests and computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA) performed during hospitalization. Assessed patients were divided into two groups: PE confirmed and PE excluded by CTPA.
We have found that patients with D-dimer levels higher than 2,152 ng/mL had significantly increased risk of PE [area under curve (AUC) of 0.69; 95% CI, 0.64-0.75; P<0.05]. Positive predictive value (PPV) reached the level of 53%, whereas negative predictive value (NPV) reached 82%. We also found that patients with the history of neoplasm and at >65 years of age had D-dimer cut-off point moved to the level of 2,652 ng/mL (AUC of 0.67; 95% CI, 0.52-0.81; P<0.05).
Whereas the NPV of the D-dimer test is generally accepted our results suggest that, in selected cases, an increased plasmatic D-dimer levels may have PPV in PE diagnosis. Patients with the history of neoplasm have higher cut-off D-dimer points above which we should consider increased PE likelihood. CTPA should be considered even for patients with low probability of PE when D-dimer values exceed four times the normal level.
肺栓塞(PE)是欧洲心血管疾病的第三大常见死因。因此,快速诊断肺栓塞对于改善预后至关重要。拥有合适的筛查试验对于排除肺栓塞以及选择肺栓塞发生可能性最高的患者都至关重要。目前,D-二聚体检测被认为是排除低风险患者肺栓塞的重要工具。我们的目标是评估D-二聚体检测的阳性预后价值。
基于对卡托维兹大学临床中心9个病房连续4年住院的患者病历分析进行了一项回顾性研究。370名患者符合研究纳入标准,研究包括住院期间进行的D-二聚体检测和计算机断层扫描肺动脉造影(CTPA)。评估的患者分为两组:CTPA确诊为肺栓塞的患者和CTPA排除肺栓塞的患者。
我们发现D-二聚体水平高于2152 ng/mL的患者发生肺栓塞的风险显著增加[曲线下面积(AUC)为0.69;95%可信区间,0.64 - 0.75;P<0.05]。阳性预测值(PPV)达到53%,而阴性预测值(NPV)达到82%。我们还发现有肿瘤病史且年龄>65岁的患者D-二聚体临界值移至2652 ng/mL水平(AUC为0.67;95%可信区间,0.52 - 0.81;P<0.05)。
虽然D-二聚体检测的NPV已被普遍接受,但我们的结果表明,在某些情况下,血浆D-二聚体水平升高在肺栓塞诊断中可能具有PPV。有肿瘤病史的患者D-二聚体临界值较高,超过该值我们应考虑肺栓塞可能性增加。当D-二聚体值超过正常水平四倍时,即使肺栓塞可能性较低的患者也应考虑进行CTPA检查。