Pollock William, Grant Alex, Wartman Joseph, Abou-Jaoude Grace
Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, 201 More Hall, Seattle, WA 98195, United States.
Dept. of Civil Engineering, Lebanese American University, 304 Bassil Bldg., Byblos, Lebanon.
MethodsX. 2019 Apr 16;6:827-836. doi: 10.1016/j.mex.2019.04.012. eCollection 2019.
Quantitative landslide risk analysis is a key step in creating appropriate land use policies. However, regional scale landslide hazard and risk studies are traditionally based on a single, infinite-slope style of failure, belying the differing consequences of a diverse range of failure modes. In this paper we expand an existing multimodal coseismic landslide hazard model to create a method for multimodal, multi-trigger quantitative landslide risk analysis and apply it to the country of Lebanon. •Physics-based, mode-specific models for coseismic and precipitation-induced landslides capture the effects of multiple failure types and triggering scenarios.•A new model for analyzing slope stability against rotational failures allows for efficient, regional scale assessments.•Open-source mapping of built-up area is used to identify elements at risk.
定量滑坡风险分析是制定适当土地利用政策的关键一步。然而,传统上区域尺度的滑坡灾害和风险研究是基于单一的、无限斜坡式的破坏方式,这掩盖了多种破坏模式所带来的不同后果。在本文中,我们扩展了现有的多模态同震滑坡灾害模型,以创建一种用于多模态、多触发因素的定量滑坡风险分析方法,并将其应用于黎巴嫩。•基于物理的同震和降水诱发滑坡的特定模式模型捕捉了多种破坏类型和触发情景的影响。•一种用于分析抗旋转破坏的边坡稳定性的新模型允许进行高效的区域尺度评估。•利用建成区的开源地图来识别受威胁的元素。