Warner K E
Accid Anal Prev. 1987 Feb;19(1):39-50. doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(87)90016-9.
Cost-benefit analyses (CBAs) of policies intended to increase occupant restraint in automobiles typically find that such policies generate social benefits that exceed social costs, often by a considerable margin. The analyses are incomplete, however, due to their inability to incorporate potentially important costs and benefits that are hard to measure and monetize. Furthermore, analyses fail to account for distributional and political considerations. Despite these limitations, the evidence produced by the occupant restraint CBAs tends to bolster the case of advocates of mandatory passive restraints and other restraint policies. Support for governmental involvement can also be found in economic theory, although the theoretical case is not necessarily compelling. The principal lesson of this review of economic analysis of the occupant restraint issue is that analysis can inform an injury policy debate, but it cannot provide conclusive answers, nor can it serve as a substitute for the political decision-making process.
旨在提高汽车驾乘人员安全带使用率的政策成本效益分析（CBA）通常发现，此类政策产生的社会效益超过社会成本，而且往往超出幅度相当大。然而，这些分析并不完整，因为它们无法纳入难以衡量和货币化的潜在重要成本和效益。此外，分析没有考虑分配和政治因素。尽管存在这些局限性，但驾乘人员安全带CBA得出的证据往往支持强制性被动安全带及其他安全带政策倡导者的观点。在经济理论中也能找到对政府干预的支持，尽管理论依据不一定具有说服力。对驾乘人员安全带问题经济分析的这一综述的主要教训是，分析可为伤害政策辩论提供信息，但无法提供确凿答案，也不能替代政治决策过程。
