Department of Ecology, Evolution & Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108;
Program in History of Science & Technology, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 May 7;116(19):9155-9163. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1817339116.
Zoonoses, such as plague, are primarily animal diseases that spill over into human populations. While the goal of eradicating such diseases is enticing, historical experience validates abandoning eradication in favor of ecologically based control strategies (which reduce morbidity and mortality to a locally accepted risk level). During the 20th century, one of the most extensive plague-eradication efforts in recorded history was undertaken to enable large-scale changes in land use in the former Soviet Union (including vast areas of central Asia). Despite expending tremendous resources in its attempt to eradicate plague, the Soviet antiplague response gradually abandoned the goal of eradication in favor of plague control linked with developing basic knowledge of plague ecology. Drawing from this experience, we combine new gray-literature sources, historical and recent research, and fieldwork to outline best practices for the control of spillover from zoonoses while minimally disrupting wildlife ecosystems, and we briefly compare the Soviet case with that of endemic plague in the western United States. We argue for the allocation of sufficient resources to maintain ongoing local surveillance, education, and targeted control measures; to incorporate novel technologies selectively; and to use ecological research to inform developing landscape-based models for transmission interruption. We conclude that living with emergent and reemergent zoonotic diseases-switching to control-opens wider possibilities for interrupting spillover while preserving natural ecosystems, encouraging adaptation to local conditions, and using technological tools judiciously and in a cost-effective way.
人畜共患病,如鼠疫,主要是动物疾病,会蔓延到人类群体中。尽管消灭此类疾病的目标很诱人,但历史经验表明,应放弃消灭策略,转而采取基于生态学的控制策略(将发病率和死亡率降低到可接受的本地风险水平)。在 20 世纪,为了实现前苏联(包括中亚广大地区)土地利用的大规模变革,开展了有记录以来最广泛的鼠疫消灭工作之一。尽管苏联在消灭鼠疫方面投入了巨大资源,但抗鼠疫反应逐渐放弃了消灭鼠疫的目标,转而支持与发展鼠疫生态学基本知识相关的鼠疫控制。借鉴这一经验,我们结合新的灰色文献来源、历史和近期研究以及实地工作,概述了在最小程度地破坏野生动物生态系统的情况下控制人畜共患疾病溢出的最佳实践,并简要比较了前苏联的情况与美国西部地方性鼠疫的情况。我们主张分配足够的资源,以维持持续的地方监测、教育和有针对性的控制措施;有选择地采用新技术;并利用生态研究为基于景观的传播中断模型的开发提供信息。我们的结论是,接受新出现和重新出现的人畜共患疾病——转向控制——为中断溢出提供了更广泛的可能性,同时保护了自然生态系统,鼓励适应当地条件,并明智而有效地使用技术工具。