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清洁能源消费-面板单位根检验的趋同:具有急剧和平滑断点。

Convergence of clean energy consumption-panel unit root test with sharp and smooth breaks.

机构信息

Economics, Business School, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.

Department of Economics and Management of Tourist Units, Agricultural University of Athens, Amfissa, 33100, Greece.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Jun;26(18):18790-18803. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-04911-x. Epub 2019 May 7.

Abstract

This paper first visits the clean energy consumption for 21 OECD countries and 14 Emerging market countries through a panel unit root test with both sharp and smooth breaks covering the period from 1965 to 2016. The time-varying fitted intercepts of the estimation could better fit the path of clean energy consumption for selected countries. The empirical results suggest that not only sharp breaks should be considered, but also smooth breaks. The economic implications are insightful for the convergence of clean energy consumption for 22 of 35 countries. For USA, Canada, Austria, Germany, Greece, Ireland, UK, Australia, New Zealand, South Korea, Hungary, China, Philippines, and Thailand, the clean energy consumption is divergence. Policy encouragement policy would permanently affect not only clean energy consumption path, but also aggregate economic sectors related to consume clean energy.

摘要

本文首先通过面板单位根检验,考察了 1965 年至 2016 年间 21 个经合组织国家和 14 个新兴市场国家的清洁能源消费情况,该检验同时考虑了急剧和渐进的断点。估计的时变拟合截距可以更好地拟合选定国家清洁能源消费的路径。实证结果表明,不仅应该考虑急剧的断点,还应该考虑渐进的断点。对于 35 个国家中的 22 个国家的清洁能源消费趋同,这些结果具有重要的经济意义。对于美国、加拿大、奥地利、德国、希腊、爱尔兰、英国、澳大利亚、新西兰、韩国、匈牙利、中国、菲律宾和泰国,清洁能源消费则是发散的。政策鼓励政策不仅会永久影响清洁能源消费路径,还会影响与清洁能源消费相关的整个经济部门。

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