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人均二氧化碳排放趋同:面板单位根检验的断点和光滑转换

On the convergence of per capita carbon dioxide emission: a panel unit root test with sharp and smooth breaks.

机构信息

Economics, Business School, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Dec;26(36):36658-36679. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-06786-4. Epub 2019 Nov 17.

Abstract

This study aims to examine the stochastic convergence of per capita carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in 21 OECD countries and 19 emerging market economies. After approximating both sharp and smooth breaks, the panel unit root tests are performed to test the convergence. The empirical results suggest stochastic convergence for the two groups of countries. However, the results are different when tests for individual countries are conducted separately. Specifically, CO2 emissions of only four OECD countries and four emerging market economies show evidence of convergence if smooth breaks are not considered. With the inclusion of both sharp and smooth breaks, convergence is observed for 11 OECD countries and 10 emerging market economies. These findings may have implications for climate change policy making in selected economies.

摘要

本研究旨在检验 21 个经合组织国家和 19 个新兴市场经济体人均二氧化碳(CO2)排放的随机收敛性。在逼近急剧和平稳断点后,采用面板单位根检验来检验收敛性。实证结果表明,这两组国家都存在随机收敛。然而,如果不考虑平稳断点,分别对各国进行检验的结果则有所不同。具体来说,如果不考虑平稳断点,只有四个经合组织国家和四个新兴市场经济体的 CO2 排放显示出收敛的迹象。而同时考虑急剧和平稳断点时,则有 11 个经合组织国家和 10 个新兴市场经济体的 CO2 排放表现出收敛。这些发现可能对选定经济体的气候变化政策制定具有启示意义。

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