预测亚太地区消除疟疾的成本。
Predicting the cost of malaria elimination in the Asia-Pacific.
作者信息
Shretta Rima, Silal Sheetal, White Lisa J, Maude Richard J
机构信息
Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94158, USA.
Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel 4002, Switzerland.
出版信息
Wellcome Open Res. 2019 Apr 24;4:73. doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15166.1. eCollection 2019.
Over the past decade, the countries of the Asia-Pacific region have made significant progress towards the goal of malaria elimination by the year 2030. It is widely accepted that for the region to meet this goal, an intensification of efforts supported by sustained funding is required. However, robust estimates are needed for the optimal coverage and components of malaria elimination packages and the resources required to implement them. In this collection, a multispecies mathematical and economic modelling approach supported by the estimated burden of disease is used to make preliminary estimates for the cost of elimination and develop an evidence-based investment case for the region.
在过去十年中，亚太地区各国在实现到2030年消除疟疾的目标方面取得了重大进展。人们普遍认为，该地区要实现这一目标，需要在持续资金支持下加大努力。然而，对于消除疟疾一揽子计划的最佳覆盖范围和组成部分以及实施这些计划所需的资源，需要进行可靠的估计。在本论文集中，采用了一种由疾病负担估计支持的多物种数学和经济建模方法，对消除成本进行初步估计，并为该地区制定基于证据的投资方案。
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