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2000 - 2013年巴西酒精成为死亡必要原因的死亡率趋势。

Trends in mortality rates where alcohol was a necessary cause of death in Brazil, 2000-2013.

作者信息

Machado Ísis Eloah, Monteiro Maristela Goldnadel, Monteiro Rosane Aparecida, Lana Francisco Carlos Félix, Gawryszewski Vilma Pinheiro, Malta Deborah Carvalho

机构信息

Nursing Postgraduate Program, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.

Mental Health and Substance Use Unit, Pan American Health Organization (PAHO/WHO), Washington, D.C., United States of America.

出版信息

Rev Panam Salud Publica. 2018 Feb 16;42:e9. doi: 10.26633/RPSP.2018.9. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To analyze trends in mortality due to diseases and conditions fully attributable to alcohol in Brazil.

METHODS

This was an ecological time-series study. Proportional, specific, and age-standardized mortality rates between 2000 and 2013 that were due to underlying or contributing causes fully attributable to alcohol use were analyzed by sex, ethnicity/skin color, age group, and region of residence in the country. Data on deaths were obtained from the Brazilian Mortality Information System (SIM). Prais-Winsten regression was used to analyze trends.

RESULTS

Deaths with underlying causes and/or conditions contributing to death fully attributable to alcohol accounted for 2.5% of total deaths in the period. There were more deaths among men (3.8%) than among women (0.7%). In both sexes, there was a higher proportion of deaths in those 40-49 years old (27.9%) and those of black or pardo (mixed race) skin color (48.8%). Between 2000 and 2013, there was an upward trend in specific mortality rates attributable to alcohol in the country as a whole (average annual growth rate (AAGR) = 5.59%; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.55%-7.68%), especially in people aged less than 20 years old, in pardos (AAGR = 13.42%; 95% CI = 9.70%-17.25%), and in residents of the North region (AAGR = 17.01%; 95% CI = 14.94%-19.13%), the Northeast region (AAGR = 15.49%; 95% CI = 10.61%-20.58%), and the Midwest region (AAGR = 8.40%; 95% CI = 5.57%-11.32%).

CONCLUSION

Alcohol is an important and growing cause of premature death in Brazil, especially among men, black/pardo people, and the population living in the most disadvantaged regions. This overall increase in the harmful use of alcohol reflects ethnic and socioeconomic inequalities in Brazil, and it also points to the need for population-based policies to reduce the impact of morbidity and to prevent early mortality.

摘要

目的

分析巴西完全归因于酒精的疾病和状况导致的死亡率趋势。

方法

这是一项生态时间序列研究。对2000年至2013年间因潜在或促成原因完全归因于酒精使用的比例、特定和年龄标准化死亡率,按性别、种族/肤色、年龄组和该国居住地区进行了分析。死亡数据来自巴西死亡率信息系统(SIM)。采用普雷斯-温斯顿回归分析趋势。

结果

潜在病因和/或促成死亡的状况完全归因于酒精的死亡占该时期总死亡人数的2.5%。男性死亡人数(3.8%)多于女性(0.7%)。在男女两性中,40 - 49岁人群(27.9%)以及黑人或帕尔多(混血)肤色人群(48.8%)的死亡比例较高。2000年至2013年间,巴西全国归因于酒精的特定死亡率呈上升趋势(年均增长率(AAGR)= 5.59%;95%置信区间(CI)= 3.55% - 7.68%),尤其是在20岁以下人群、帕尔多人群(AAGR = 13.42%;95% CI = 9.70% - 17.25%)以及北部地区居民(AAGR = 17.01%;95% CI = 14.94% - 19.13%)、东北地区居民(AAGR = 15.49%;95% CI = 10.61% - 20.58%)和中西部地区居民(AAGR = 8.40%;95% CI = 5.57% - 11.32%)中。

结论

酒精是巴西过早死亡的一个重要且日益增长的原因,尤其是在男性、黑/帕尔多人群以及生活在最贫困地区的人群中。酒精有害使用的总体增加反映了巴西的种族和社会经济不平等,也表明需要制定基于人群的政策以减少发病率影响并预防过早死亡。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/db7a/6386057/a647fb7933b2/rpsp-42-e9-g001.jpg

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