University of Washington, Savery Hall, Box 353340, Seattle, WA, 98195-3340, USA.
Welch Consulting, 1716 Briarcrest Dr # 700, Bryan, TX, 77802, USA.
Soc Sci Res. 2019 Jul;81:117-131. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2019.03.009. Epub 2019 Mar 26.
Using novel panel data spanning 1940-2000, we examine the adult offspring of the Great Migration who returned to the South. We observe two types of return migrants: (1) southern-born, "lifetime" return migrants who were born in the South, resided outside of the South in 1940, and returned to the South by 2000, and (2) northern-born, "generational" return migrants whose parents were born in the South but who, themselves, were born in the North, resided in the North in 1940, and had returned to the South by 2000. These data also allow us to observe return migrants and their parents over a longer period of time than any previous data source, permitting us to consider the early-life predictors of return migration. We find that generational migrants comprise a sizeable segment of all second-generation return migrants to the South and that these migrants are positively selected on their own and their parents' socioeconomic characteristics, relative to the second-generation migrants who remain in the North. Conversely, southern-born, lifetime, return migrants are negatively selected. Our investigation provides a broader and more representative view of who return migrants are and illustrates the underappreciated importance of generational ties to place for migration decisions.
利用跨越 1940-2000 年的新颖面板数据,我们考察了返回南方的大迁徙成年后代。我们观察到两种类型的回流移民:(1)南方出生的“终身”回流移民,他们在南方出生,1940 年居住在南方以外地区,到 2000 年返回南方;(2)北方出生的“代际”回流移民,他们的父母在南方出生,但本人在北方出生,1940 年居住在北方,到 2000 年返回南方。这些数据还使我们能够在比以往任何数据源更长的时间内观察回流移民及其父母,从而能够考虑回流移民的早期生活预测因素。我们发现,代际移民构成了所有返回南方的第二代回流移民的相当大一部分,与留在北方的第二代移民相比,这些移民在自身及其父母的社会经济特征方面是经过积极选择的。相反,南方出生的“终身”回流移民则是经过消极选择的。我们的调查提供了一个更广泛和更具代表性的视角,说明了谁是回流移民,并说明了代际联系对移民决策的重要性。