Ageing Clinical and Experimental Research Team, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, School of Medicine, Medical Sciences & Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
Keele Cardiovascular Research Group, Centre for Prognosis Research, Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Stoke-on-Trent, UK.
Acta Neurol Scand. 2019 Sep;140(3):219-228. doi: 10.1111/ane.13135. Epub 2019 Jun 17.
To determine the risk factor profiles associated with post-acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) myocardial infarction (MI) over long-term follow-up.
This observational study includes prospectively identified AIS patients (n = 9840) admitted to a UK regional centre between January 2003 and December 2016 (median follow-up: 4.72 years). Predictors of post-stroke MI during follow-up were examined using logistic and Cox regression models for in-hospital and post-discharge events, respectively. MI incidence was determined using a competing risk non-parametric estimator. The influence of post-stroke MI on mortality was examined using Cox regressions.
Mean age (SD) of study participants was 77.3 (12.2) years (48% males). Factors associated with in-hospital MI (OR [95% CI]) were increasing blood glucose (1.80 [1.17-2.77] per 10 mmol/L), total leucocyte count (1.25 [1.01-1.54] per 10 × 10 /L) and CRP (1.05 [1.02-1.08] per 10 mg/L increase). Age (HR [95% CI] = 1.03 [1.01-1.06]), coronary heart disease (1.59 [1.01-2.50]), chronic kidney disease (2.58 [1.44-4.63]) and cancers (1.76 [1.08-2.89]) were associated with incident MI between discharge and one-year follow-up. Age (1.02 [1.00-1.03]), diabetes (1.96 [1.38-2.65]), congestive heart failure (2.07 [1.44-2.99]), coronary heart disease (1.81 [1.31-2.50]), hypertension [1.86 (1.24-2.79)] and peripheral vascular disease (2.25 [1.40-3.63]) were associated with incident MI between 1 and 5 years after discharge. Diabetes (2.01 [1.09-3.72]), hypertension (3.69 [1.44-9.45]) and peripheral vascular disease (2.46 [1.02-5.98]) were associated with incident MI between 5 and 10 years after discharge. Cumulative MI incidence over 10 years was 5.4%. MI during all follow-up periods (discharge-1, 1-5, 5-10 years) was associated with increased risk of death (respective HR [95% CI] = 3.26 [2.51-4.15], 1.96 [1.58-2.42] and 1.92 [1.26-2.93]).
In conclusion, prognosis is poor in post-stroke MI. We highlight a range of potential areas to focus preventative efforts.
确定与长期随访后急性缺血性脑卒中(AIS)心肌梗死(MI)相关的风险因素特征。
本观察性研究纳入了 2003 年 1 月至 2016 年 12 月期间在英国一个地区中心住院的 AIS 患者(n=9840)(中位随访时间:4.72 年)。使用逻辑和 Cox 回归模型分别对住院期间和出院后事件的卒中后 MI 的预测因素进行了检验。使用竞争风险非参数估计器确定 MI 的发生率。使用 Cox 回归检验卒中后 MI 对死亡率的影响。
研究参与者的平均年龄(SD)为 77.3(12.2)岁(48%为男性)。与住院期间 MI 相关的因素(OR [95%CI])为血糖升高(每 10mmol/L 增加 1.80 [1.17-2.77])、总白细胞计数(每 10×10/L 增加 1.25 [1.01-1.54])和 CRP(每 10mg/L 增加 1.05 [1.02-1.08])。年龄(HR [95%CI] = 1.03 [1.01-1.06])、冠心病(1.59 [1.01-2.50])、慢性肾脏病(2.58 [1.44-4.63])和癌症(1.76 [1.08-2.89])与出院后至一年随访期间的 MI 事件相关。年龄(1.02 [1.00-1.03])、糖尿病(1.96 [1.38-2.65])、充血性心力衰竭(2.07 [1.44-2.99])、冠心病(1.81 [1.31-2.50])、高血压[1.86(1.24-2.79)]和外周血管疾病(2.25 [1.40-3.63])与出院后 1-5 年期间的 MI 事件相关。糖尿病(2.01 [1.09-3.72])、高血压(3.69 [1.44-9.45])和外周血管疾病(2.46 [1.02-5.98])与出院后 5-10 年期间的 MI 事件相关。10 年内 MI 的累积发生率为 5.4%。所有随访期间(出院-1 年、1-5 年、5-10 年)的 MI 与死亡风险增加相关(相应的 HR [95%CI]分别为 3.26 [2.51-4.15]、1.96 [1.58-2.42]和 1.92 [1.26-2.93])。
总之,卒中后 MI 的预后较差。我们强调了一系列可能需要预防的潜在领域。