Cancer Epidemiology and Population Health Group, University of South Australia Cancer Research Institute, Adelaide, SA, 5001, Australia.
Centre for Research and Action in Public Health, University of Canberra, University Drive, Bruce, ACT, 2617, Australia.
Sci Rep. 2019 Jun 12;9(1):8580. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-44969-8.
This study estimated the absolute risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) specific and other-cause mortality using data from the population-based South Australian Cancer Registry. The impact of competing risks on the absolute and relative risks of mortality in cases with and without comorbidity was also investigated. The study included 7115 staged, primary CRC cases diagnosed between 2003 and 2012 with at least one year of follow-up. Comorbidities were classified according to Charlson, Elixhauser and C3 comorbidity indices, using hospital inpatient diagnoses occurring five years before CRC diagnosis. To estimate the differences in measures of association, the subdistribution hazard ratios (sHR) for the effect of comorbidity on mortality from the Fine and Gray model were compared to the cause-specific hazards (HR) from Cox regression model. CRC was most commonly diagnosed in people aged ≧ 70 years. In cases without comorbidity, the 10-year cumulative probability of CRC and other cause mortality were 37.1% and 17.2% respectively. In cases with Charlson comorbidity scores ≥2, the 10-year cumulative probability of CRC-specific and other cause mortality was 45.5% and 32.2%, respectively. Comorbidity was associated with increased CRC-specific and other cause mortality and the effect differed only marginally based on comorbidity index used.
本研究利用基于人群的南澳大利亚癌症登记处的数据,估计了结直肠癌(CRC)特定和其他原因死亡率的绝对风险。还研究了竞争风险对有和没有合并症的病例的死亡率的绝对和相对风险的影响。该研究纳入了 7115 例分期的原发性 CRC 病例,这些病例于 2003 年至 2012 年诊断,至少有一年的随访期。合并症根据 Charlson、Elixhauser 和 C3 合并症指数进行分类,使用 CRC 诊断前五年的住院患者诊断。为了估计关联度量的差异,Fine 和 Gray 模型中合并症对死亡率的影响的亚分布风险比(sHR)与 Cox 回归模型中特定原因的风险比(HR)进行了比较。CRC 最常见于年龄≧70 岁的人群中。在没有合并症的病例中,CRC 和其他原因 10 年累积死亡率分别为 37.1%和 17.2%。在 Charlson 合并症评分≧2 的病例中,CRC 特异性和其他原因 10 年累积死亡率分别为 45.5%和 32.2%。合并症与 CRC 特异性和其他原因死亡率的增加相关,并且使用不同的合并症指数,其影响仅略有不同。