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框架效应、概率扭曲和无反馈的赌博倾向不受两晚实验性睡眠限制的影响。

Framing effect, probability distortion, and gambling tendency without feedback are resistant to two nights of experimental sleep restriction.

机构信息

Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Department of Psychology, New York University, New York, NY, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2019 Jun 12;9(1):8554. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-44237-9.

Abstract

Several studies suggest that sleep deprivation affects risky decision making. However, most of these are confounded by feedback given after each decision, indicating that decisions may be based on suboptimal feedback-learning rather than risk evaluation. Furthermore, few studies have investigated the effect of sleep loss on aspects of prospect theory, specifically the framing effect and probability distortion. In this within-subjects design, 25 people had (i) two nights of an 8 h sleep opportunity, and (ii) two nights of a 4 h sleep opportunity, in a counter-balanced order. Following the two nights, they performed a gambling task with no immediate feedback; for each round, they could either gamble for a full amount, or take a settlement framed as a gain or a loss for part of the amount. Sleep restriction did not significantly affect the tendency to gamble, the framing effect, or probability distortion, as compared to normal sleep. These results indicate that two nights of sleep restriction affects neither general gambling tendency, nor two of the main predictions of prospect theory. This resilience may be due to a less extreme sleep loss than in previous studies, but also indicates that learning components and risk biases should be separated when assessing the effect of sleep loss on risky behaviour.

摘要

多项研究表明,睡眠不足会影响风险决策。然而,这些研究大多受到每个决策后提供的反馈的影响,这表明决策可能基于次优的反馈学习,而不是风险评估。此外,很少有研究调查睡眠不足对前景理论的影响,特别是框架效应和概率扭曲。在这项个体内设计中,25 人有(i)两晚 8 小时的睡眠机会,和(ii)两晚 4 小时的睡眠机会,以平衡的顺序进行。在两个晚上之后,他们在没有即时反馈的情况下进行了赌博任务;对于每一轮,他们可以选择全额赌博,或者选择以收益或损失的部分金额进行结算。与正常睡眠相比,睡眠限制并没有显著影响赌博倾向、框架效应或概率扭曲。这些结果表明,两个晚上的睡眠限制既不会影响一般的赌博倾向,也不会影响前景理论的两个主要预测。这种弹性可能是由于睡眠不足比以前的研究更轻,但也表明在评估睡眠不足对风险行为的影响时,应该分离学习成分和风险偏差。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7441/6561965/376e67a69524/41598_2019_44237_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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