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全球潜伏性结核病的流行情况:系统评价和荟萃分析。

The global prevalence of latent tuberculosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Dept of Pathology, St Olavs Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.

Both authors contributed equally.

出版信息

Eur Respir J. 2019 Sep 12;54(3). doi: 10.1183/13993003.00655-2019. Print 2019 Sep.


DOI:10.1183/13993003.00655-2019
PMID:31221810
Abstract

In 1999, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimated that one-third of the world's population had latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI), which was recently updated to one-fourth. However, this is still based on controversial assumptions in combination with tuberculin skin test (TST) surveys. Interferon-γ release assays (IGRAs) with a higher specificity than TST have since been widely implemented, but never used to estimate the global LTBI prevalence.We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of LTBI estimates based on both IGRA and TST results published between 2005 and 2018. Regional and global estimates of LTBI prevalence were calculated. Stratification was performed for low, intermediate and high TB incidence countries and a pooled estimate for each area was calculated using a random effects model.Among 3280 studies screened, we included 88 studies from 36 countries with 41 IGRA (n=67 167) and 67 TST estimates (n=284 644). The global prevalence of LTBI was 24.8% (95% CI 19.7-30.0%) and 21.2% (95% CI 17.9-24.4%), based on IGRA and a 10-mm TST cut-off, respectively. The prevalence estimates correlated well to WHO incidence rates (Rs=0.70, p<0.001).In the first study of the global prevalence of LTBI derived from both IGRA and TST surveys, we found that one-fourth of the world's population is infected. This is of relevance, as both tests, although imperfect, are used to identify individuals eligible for preventive therapy. Enhanced efforts are needed targeting the large pool of latently infected individuals, as this constitutes an enormous source of potential active tuberculosis.

摘要

2019 年,世界卫生组织(WHO)估计全球有三分之一的人口存在潜伏性结核感染(LTBI),最近这一数字更新为四分之一。然而,这仍然是基于有争议的假设,并结合结核菌素皮肤试验(TST)调查得出的。自那时以来,特异性高于 TST 的干扰素-γ释放试验(IGRAs)已被广泛应用,但从未用于估计全球 LTBI 流行率。我们对 2005 年至 2018 年期间发表的基于 IGRA 和 TST 结果的 LTBI 估计进行了系统评价和荟萃分析。计算了 LTBI 流行率的区域和全球估计值。对低、中、高结核病发病率国家进行了分层,并使用随机效应模型计算了每个区域的汇总估计值。在筛选的 3280 项研究中,我们纳入了来自 36 个国家的 88 项研究,其中包括 41 项 IGRA(n=67167)和 67 项 TST 估计(n=284644)。基于 IGRA 和 10-mm TST 截断值,全球 LTBI 流行率分别为 24.8%(95%CI 19.7-30.0%)和 21.2%(95%CI 17.9-24.4%)。患病率估计值与 WHO 发病率相关良好(Rs=0.70,p<0.001)。在第一项基于 IGRA 和 TST 调查的全球 LTBI 患病率研究中,我们发现全球有四分之一的人口感染。这是相关的,因为这两种检测方法虽然不完美,但都用于识别有资格接受预防性治疗的个体。需要加强针对大量潜伏性感染个体的努力,因为这是潜在活动性结核病的巨大来源。

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