Departments of Pediatrics and
Department of Pediatrics and Emergency Medicine, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Pediatrics. 2019 Jul;144(1). doi: 10.1542/peds.2018-3221.
Adult prediction rules for cervical spine injury (CSI) exist; however, pediatric rules do not. Our objectives were to determine test accuracies of retrospectively identified CSI risk factors in a prospective pediatric cohort and compare them to a de novo risk model.
We conducted a 4-center, prospective observational study of children 0 to 17 years old who experienced blunt trauma and underwent emergency medical services scene response, trauma evaluation, and/or cervical imaging. Emergency department providers recorded CSI risk factors. CSIs were classified by reviewing imaging, consultations, and/or telephone follow-up. We calculated bivariable relative risks, multivariable odds ratios, and test characteristics for the retrospective risk model and a de novo model.
Of 4091 enrolled children, 74 (1.8%) had CSIs. Fourteen factors had bivariable associations with CSIs: diving, axial load, clotheslining, loss of consciousness, neck pain, inability to move neck, altered mental status, signs of basilar skull fracture, torso injury, thoracic injury, intubation, respiratory distress, decreased oxygen saturation, and neurologic deficits. The retrospective model (high-risk motor vehicle crash, diving, predisposing condition, neck pain, decreased neck mobility (report or exam), altered mental status, neurologic deficits, or torso injury) was 90.5% (95% confidence interval: 83.9%-97.2%) sensitive and 45.6% (44.0%-47.1%) specific for CSIs. The de novo model (diving, axial load, neck pain, inability to move neck, altered mental status, intubation, or respiratory distress) was 92.0% (85.7%-98.1%) sensitive and 50.3% (48.7%-51.8%) specific.
Our findings support previously identified pediatric CSI risk factors and prospective pediatric CSI prediction rule development.
成人颈椎损伤(CSI)预测规则已经存在,但儿童规则不存在。我们的目的是确定回顾性确定的 CSI 风险因素在前瞻性儿科队列中的测试准确性,并将其与新模型进行比较。
我们进行了一项 4 中心前瞻性观察研究,纳入了 0 至 17 岁经历钝器伤并接受紧急医疗服务现场响应、创伤评估和/或颈椎成像的儿童。急诊医生记录 CSI 风险因素。通过回顾影像学、咨询和/或电话随访来分类 CSI。我们计算了回顾性风险模型和新模型的双变量相对风险、多变量优势比和测试特征。
在 4091 名入组儿童中,74 名(1.8%)发生 CSI。14 个因素与 CSI 有双变量关联:潜水、轴向负荷、衣服挂绳、意识丧失、颈部疼痛、无法移动颈部、意识状态改变、颅底骨折迹象、躯干损伤、胸部损伤、插管、呼吸窘迫、氧饱和度降低和神经功能缺损。回顾性模型(高危机动车事故、潜水、易患疾病、颈部疼痛、颈部活动度降低(报告或检查)、意识状态改变、神经功能缺损或躯干损伤)对 CSI 的敏感性为 90.5%(95%置信区间:83.9%-97.2%),特异性为 45.6%(44.0%-47.1%)。新模型(潜水、轴向负荷、颈部疼痛、无法移动颈部、意识状态改变、插管或呼吸窘迫)对 CSI 的敏感性为 92.0%(85.7%-98.1%),特异性为 50.3%(48.7%-51.8%)。
我们的研究结果支持先前确定的儿科 CSI 风险因素和前瞻性儿科 CSI 预测规则的制定。