a Center for Applied Biomechanics, University of Virginia , Charlottesville , Virginia.
b Autoliv Research , Vårgårda , Sweden.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2019;20(6):607-612. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2019.1630825. Epub 2019 Jul 8.
As vehicle safety technologies and evaluation procedures advance, it is pertinent to periodically evaluate injury trends to identify continuing and emerging priorities for intervention. This study examined detailed injury distributions and injury risk trends in belted occupants in frontal automobile collisions (10 o'clock to 2 o'clock) using NASS-CDS (1998-2015). Injury distributions were examined by occupant age and vehicle model year (stratified at pre- and post-2009). Logistic regression models were developed to examine the effects of various factors on injury risk (by body region), controlling for delta-V, sex, age, height, body mass index (BMI), vehicle model year (again stratified at 2009). Among other observations, these analyses indicate that newer model year vehicles (model year [MY] 2009 and later) carry less risk of Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) 2+ and AIS 3+ injury compared to older model year vehicles, with odds ratios of 0.69 (AIS 2+) and 0.45 (AIS 3+). The largest reductions in risk between newer model year vehicles and older model year vehicles occur in the lower extremities and in the risk of skull fracture. There is no statistically significant change in risk of AIS 3+ rib fracture or sternum injury between model year categories. Females are at greater risk of AIS 2+ and AIS 3+ injury compared to males, with increased risk across most injury types. For belted occupants in frontal collisions, substantial reductions in injury risk have been realized in many body regions in recent years. Risk reduction in the thorax has lagged other body regions, resulting in increasing prevalence among skeletal injuries in newer model year vehicles (especially in the elderly). Injuries also remain common in the arm and hand/wrist for all age ranges studied. These results provide insight into where advances in the field have made gains in occupant protection and what injury types remain to be addressed.
随着车辆安全技术和评估程序的不断发展,有必要定期评估伤害趋势,以确定持续存在和新出现的干预重点。本研究使用 NASS-CDS(1998-2015 年),检查了正面汽车碰撞(10 点至 2 点)中系安全带的乘客的详细伤害分布和伤害风险趋势。通过乘客年龄和车辆模型年(分层在 2009 年之前和之后)检查伤害分布。Logistic 回归模型用于研究各种因素对伤害风险(按身体部位)的影响,控制 delta-V、性别、年龄、身高、体重指数(BMI)、车辆模型年(再次分层在 2009 年)。除其他观察结果外,这些分析表明,与较旧的模型年车辆相比,较新的模型年车辆(2009 年及以后的车型)发生 Abbreviated Injury Scale(AIS)2+和 AIS 3+伤害的风险较低,优势比分别为 0.69(AIS 2+)和 0.45(AIS 3+)。在新车型和旧车型之间,下肢和颅骨骨折的风险降低最大。在 AIS 3+肋骨骨折或胸骨损伤的风险方面,不同车型之间没有统计学上的显著变化。与男性相比,女性发生 AIS 2+和 AIS 3+伤害的风险更高,大多数伤害类型的风险都有所增加。对于正面碰撞中的系安全带乘客,近年来许多身体部位的伤害风险都有了显著降低。胸部的风险降低滞后于其他身体部位,导致在较新的模型年车辆中,骨骼损伤的患病率增加(尤其是老年人)。对于所有研究年龄范围的手臂和手/手腕,受伤仍然很常见。这些结果提供了有关该领域在乘客保护方面取得的进展以及仍需解决的伤害类型的深入了解。
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