Viano David C, Parenteau Chantal S
a ProBiomechanics LLC , Bloomfield Hills , Michigan.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2018;19(7):734-740. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2018.1482489. Epub 2018 Oct 30.
This study investigated trends in severe injury and ejection in rollover crashes involving lap-shoulder-belted drivers and right-front passengers. It was conducted because of changes in 2009 to consumer information programs and regulations related to rollover protection. The data are presented by model year (MY) of the vehicle in groups from 1995 to 2016. NASS-CDS cases with 2010-2016 MY vehicles were also evaluated to determine the crash circumstances and causes for severe injury of belted occupants in vehicles with a high strength-to-weight (SWR) roof, curtain, and side airbags and other safety improvements.
1997-2015 NASS-CDS data were evaluated for severe injury and ejection of lap-shoulder-belted front outboard occupants in light vehicles. Crashes were grouped by front, side, rear, and rollover. The injury and ejection data were grouped by vehicle MY: 1995-1999, 2000-2004, 2005-2009, and 2010-2016. Only drivers and right-front passengers were included if they were lap-shoulder belted and 15+ years old. Severely injured occupants were defined as those with Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale (MAIS) 4-6 or fatality (MAIS 4 + F). National estimates were made with weighted data using the ratio weight in NASS-CDS. All NASS-CDS electronic cases were evaluated for belted occupants with MAIS 4 + F injury in rollovers involving 2010-2016 MY vehicles. The crash circumstances and injuries were studied. These vehicles had high-SWR roofs to meet Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) ratings and FMVSS 216.
The 1997-2015 NASS-CDS included 2,083,776 belted front occupants in rollover crashes with 24,466 (1.17%) MAIS 4 + F injuries. The frequency of rollover crashes has decreased with modern vehicles (P < .0001). The 1995-1999 MY vehicles involved in a rollover accounted for 7.03% of all crashes (756,228/10,760,000). The corresponding proportion was 3.57% with 2010-2016 MY vehicles (81,406 vs. 2,282,062). The risk for MAIS 4 + F was 1.325 ± 0.347% in rollover crashes with 1995-1999 MY vehicles. It was 27.2% lower in 2010-2016 MY vehicles at 0.964 ± 0.331% (P < .001). There were 42,567 (2.002%) ejections of belted occupants in rollover crashes, irrespective of injury outcome. The risk for ejection was 3.042 ± 1.44% in rollover crashes with 1995-1999 MY vehicles. It was 43.6% lower in 2004-2009 MY vehicle at 1.715 ± 0.660% (P < .001) and 83.4% lower in 2010-2016 MY vehicle at 0.505 ± 0.336% (P < .001). There were 17 rollovers with MAIS 4 + F in 2010-2016 MY vehicles in NASS-CDS. Their roof strength was SWR =4.15 ± 1.05 based on 15 vehicles. Many of the collisions involved front or side impacts and then a rollover. Four cases involved 16- to 30-year-old drivers in extremely high-speed loss-of-control crashes resulting in >10-cm vertical roof deformation or substantial roof deformation based on photos. The roof strength (SWR) of 4.20 ± 1.0 was not sufficient to prevent roof deformation in these crashes.
This study found a reduction in severe injury and ejection risk with modern vehicles. It indicates that vehicle safety has improved in response to IIHS and NHTSA efforts to expand the array of safety requirements and increase performance so that newer models are safer than earlier ones. There has been an incremental improvement in safety due to these advances.
本研究调查了涉及使用安全带的驾驶员和右前乘客的翻车事故中严重受伤和弹出情况的趋势。开展这项研究是因为2009年消费者信息计划和与翻车保护相关的法规发生了变化。数据按1995年至2016年车辆的车型年份(MY)分组呈现。还对2010 - 2016年车型年份车辆的国家汽车抽样系统 - 碰撞数据系统(NASS - CDS)案例进行了评估,以确定配备高强度重量比(SWR)车顶、帘式和侧面安全气囊及其他安全改进措施的车辆中系安全带乘员严重受伤的碰撞情况和原因。
对1997 - 2015年NASS - CDS数据进行评估,以确定轻型车辆中使用安全带的前排外侧乘员的严重受伤和弹出情况。碰撞事故按正面、侧面、后面和翻车进行分组。受伤和弹出数据按车辆车型年份分组:1995 - 1999年、2000 - 2004年、2005 - 2009年和2010 - 2016年。仅纳入年龄在15岁及以上且使用安全带的驾驶员和右前乘客。严重受伤的乘员定义为那些损伤程度达到简明损伤定级标准(MAIS)4 - 6级或死亡(MAIS 4 + F)的人员。使用NASS - CDS中的比率权重对加权数据进行全国估计。对所有NASS - CDS电子案例进行评估,以确定2010 - 2016年车型年份车辆翻车事故中MAIS 4 + F损伤的系安全带乘员情况。研究了碰撞情况和损伤情况。这些车辆具有高SWR车顶,以满足美国公路安全保险协会(IIHS)评级和联邦机动车安全标准216。
1997 - 2015年NASS - CDS包括2,083,776名在翻车事故中使用安全带的前排乘员,其中24,466人(1.17%)损伤程度达到MAIS 4 + F。翻车事故的发生率在现代车辆中有所下降(P <.0001)。1995 - 1999年车型年份的车辆发生的翻车事故占所有事故的7.03%(756,228 / 10,760,000)。2010 - 2016年车型年份车辆的相应比例为3.57%(81,406对2,282,062)。1995 - 1999年车型年份车辆的翻车事故中MAIS 4 + F的风险为1.325 ± 0.347%。2010 - 2016年车型年份车辆中该风险降低了27.2%,为0.964 ± 0.331%(P <.001)。在翻车事故中,有42,567名(2.002%)系安全带的乘员被弹出,无论损伤结果如何。1995 - 1999年车型年份车辆的翻车事故中弹出风险为3.042 ± 1.44%。2004 - 2009年车型年份车辆中该风险降低了43.6%,为1.715 ± 0.660%(P <.001),2010 - 2016年车型年份车辆中降低了83.4%,为0.505 ± 0.336%(P <.001)。NASS - CDS中2010 - 2016年车型年份车辆中有17起翻车事故导致MAIS 4 + F。基于15辆车,其车顶强度SWR = 4.15 ± 1.05。许多碰撞涉及正面或侧面撞击,然后翻车。4起案例涉及16至30岁的驾驶员,在极高速度失控碰撞中,根据照片显示导致垂直车顶变形>10厘米或车顶严重变形。在这些碰撞中,4.20 ± 1.0的车顶强度(SWR)不足以防止车顶变形。
本研究发现现代车辆的严重受伤和弹出风险有所降低。这表明车辆安全性因IIHS和美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)扩大安全要求范围和提高性能的努力而得到改善,使得新型号车辆比早期型号更安全。由于这些进步,安全性有了逐步提高。