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[葡萄牙宫颈癌死亡率的时间趋势]

[Time-Trends in Cervical Cancer Mortality in Portugal].

作者信息

Teixeira Cristina, Pereira Ana Maria, Anes Eugénia, Rodrigues Carina, Castanheira Maria José

机构信息

Unidade de Investigação em Epidemiologia. Instituto de Saúde Pública. Universidade do Porto. Porto; Instituto Politécnico de Bragança. Escola Superior de Saúde. Bragança. Portugal.

Instituto Politécnico de Bragança. Escola Superior de Saúde. Bragança. Portugal.

出版信息

Acta Med Port. 2019 Jun 28;32(6):427-433. doi: 10.20344/amp.8921.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The mortality rate due to cervical cancer is higher in Portugal compared to other European countries. This study aimed to evaluate the time-trends in cervical cancer mortality rates observed in Portugal over the last six decades.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Age-standardized cervical cancer mortality rates reported in Portugal between 1955 and 2014, were collected from the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). Joinpoint regression analysis was used to identify significant changes in mortality rates by assessing the percentage of annual variation (%AV) of the rate and respective 95% confidence interval (95%CI) according to the age groups.

RESULTS

Among women with 30-39 years, cervical cancer mortality decreased 1.9% per year (95%CI: -2.3; -1.4) throughout the time-period, reaching 0.5/100 000 in 2014. Among women aged 40-49 years, CC mortality decreased between 1971 and 1981 (%AV = -11.6; IC 95%: -14.6; -8.6). Rates then increased by 2.4% per year (95%CI: 1.0; 3.8) until 2001 and such trend reverted from 2001 onwards (%AV = -5.2; IC 95%: -7.7; -2.6), reaching 3.0/100 000 in 2014. In women aged 50-64, 65-74 and 75 years or older, cervical cancer mortality rates decreased from 29.2 to 6.7/100 000, from 34.3 to 7.7/100 000 and from 24.7 to 9.2/100 000. The decline in mortality rates in these three age groups occurred mainly between 1970 and 1980, and there have been no significant changes in the last three decades.

DISCUSSION

In Portugal, the most impressive decline in cervical cancer mortality rates occurred in the 1970s concurrently with changes in the National Healthcare System. The most important changes were the increased access to early diagnosis and the improvement in therapeutic approaches. The plateau that we observed among older women over the last three decades can be partially explained by factors with negative impact on adherence to cervical screening.

CONCLUSION

There was a marked decrease in mortality due to CC among all age groups. However, we observed a plateau of this indicator in more advanced age groups over the last three decades. These findings suggest the need of promoting adherence to cervical screening in Portugal.

摘要

引言

与其他欧洲国家相比,葡萄牙宫颈癌死亡率更高。本研究旨在评估过去六十年来葡萄牙宫颈癌死亡率的时间趋势。

材料与方法

从国际癌症研究机构(IARC)收集1955年至2014年葡萄牙报告的年龄标准化宫颈癌死亡率。采用Joinpoint回归分析,通过评估各年龄组死亡率的年变化百分比(%AV)及其相应的95%置信区间(95%CI)来确定死亡率的显著变化。

结果

在30 - 39岁女性中,宫颈癌死亡率在整个时间段内每年下降1.9%(95%CI:-2.3;-1.4),2014年降至0.5/10万。在40 - 49岁女性中,宫颈癌死亡率在1971年至1981年期间下降(%AV = -11.6;95%CI:-14.6;-8.6)。然后,在2001年之前每年上升2.4%(95%CI:1.0;3.8),2001年起这种趋势逆转(%AV = -5.2;95%CI:-7.7;-2.6),2014年达到3.0/10万。在50 - 64岁、65 - 74岁和75岁及以上的女性中,宫颈癌死亡率分别从29.2/10万降至6.7/10万、从34.3/10万降至7.7/10万、从24.7/10万降至9.2/10万。这三个年龄组死亡率的下降主要发生在1970年至1980年之间,过去三十年没有显著变化。

讨论

在葡萄牙,宫颈癌死亡率最显著的下降发生在20世纪70年代,与国家医疗保健系统的变化同时出现。最重要的变化是早期诊断的可及性增加和治疗方法的改进。我们在过去三十年中观察到老年女性死亡率呈平稳状态,这可以部分归因于对宫颈筛查依从性产生负面影响的因素。

结论

所有年龄组的宫颈癌死亡率均显著下降。然而,在过去三十年中,我们在年龄较大的年龄组中观察到这一指标呈平稳状态。这些发现表明在葡萄牙需要提高对宫颈筛查的依从性。

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