Allen-Perkins Alfonso, Estrada Ernesto
Instituto de Física, Universidade Federal da Bahia, 40210-210 Salvador, Brazil.
Complex System Group, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, 28040 Madrid, Spain.
Proc Math Phys Eng Sci. 2019 Jun;475(2226):20190136. doi: 10.1098/rspa.2019.0136. Epub 2019 Jun 19.
Agricultural losses to pests represent an important challenge in a global warming scenario. Intercropping is an alternative farming practice that promotes pest control without the use of chemical pesticides. Here, we develop a mathematical model to study epidemic spreading and control in intercropped agricultural fields as a sustainable pest management tool for agriculture. The model combines the movement of aphids transmitting a virus in an agricultural field, the spatial distribution of plants in the intercropped field and the presence of 'trap crops' in an epidemiological susceptible-infected-removed model. Using this model, we study several intercropping arrangements without and with trap crops and find a new intercropping arrangement that may improve significantly pest management in agricultural fields with respect to the commonly used intercrop systems.
在全球变暖的背景下,害虫造成的农业损失是一项重大挑战。间作是一种替代耕作方式,可在不使用化学农药的情况下促进害虫防治。在此,我们开发了一个数学模型,以研究间作农田中的流行病传播与控制,将其作为一种可持续的农业害虫管理工具。该模型将蚜虫在农田中传播病毒的移动、间作田中植物的空间分布以及“诱集作物”的存在整合到一个流行病学易感-感染-清除模型中。利用这个模型,我们研究了几种有无诱集作物的间作安排,发现了一种新的间作安排,相对于常用的间作系统,它可能显著改善农田中的害虫管理。