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多不确定因素下的作物面积不精确优化模型。

An Inexact Optimization Model for Crop Area Under Multiple Uncertainties.

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Subsurface Hydrology and Ecological Effect in Arid Region, Ministry of Education, Xi'an 710054, Shaanxi Province, China.

School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an Univeristy, Xi'an 710054, Shaanxi Province, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Jul 22;16(14):2610. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16142610.

Abstract

This paper developed a type-2 fuzzy interval chance constrained programming model for optimizing a crop area, which integrated chance constrained programming and type-2 fuzzy interval programming. The developed model was then applied to a case study in Wuwei City, Gansu Province, China, and the maximization of economic benefit was selected as the planning objective. Furthermore, different water-saving irrigation modes were considered as the development mode. A series of optimal irrigation water and planting structure schemes were obtained under different violation probabilities in each water-saving scenario. The obtained results could be helpful to make decisions on the planting structure and the optimal use of irrigation water and land resources under multiple uncertainties.

摘要

本文针对作物种植面积优化问题,建立了一种基于二类模糊区间机会约束规划模型,将机会约束规划与二类模糊区间规划相结合。以甘肃省武威市为例,以经济效益最大化为规划目标,选取不同的节水灌溉模式作为发展模式,在不同的节水情景下,计算了各情景下不同违反概率对应的最优灌溉水量和种植结构方案。所得结果可为多不确定性条件下的种植结构决策和灌溉水资源与土地资源的优化利用提供参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fcc4/6678712/0c8403841f26/ijerph-16-02610-g001.jpg

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