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评估大衰退对健康影响的研究中的偏差。系统评价。

Evaluation of the Biases in the Studies that Assess the Effects of the Great Recession on Health. A Systematic Review.

机构信息

Research Group on Statistics, Econometrics and Health (GRECS), University of Girona, 17003 Girona, Spain.

Network Biomedical Research Center of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), 28029 Madrid, Spain.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Jul 11;16(14):2479. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16142479.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Our main objective was to evaluate the fundamental biases detected in studies assessing the effects the Great Recession had on health for the case of Spain. As secondary objectives we presented methods to control these biases and to discuss the results of the studies in question if they had controlled for them.

METHODS

We carried out a systematic review of the literature published up to June 2018. We evaluated the biases that could have happened in all the eligible studies.

RESULTS

From the review, we finally selected 53 studies. Of the studies we reviewed, 60.38% or 32 out of 53, were evaluated as having a high risk of bias. The main biases our review revealed were problems with evaluation, time bias, lack of control of unobserved confounding, and non-exogeneity when defining the onset of the Great Recession.

CONCLUSIONS

The results from the studies that controlled the biases were quite consistent. Summing up, the studies reviewed found that the Great Recession increased the risk of declaring poor self-rated health and the deterioration of mental health. Both the mortality rate and the suicide rate may well have increased after the Great Recession, probably after a three- to four-year delay.

摘要

背景

我们的主要目的是评估评估大衰退对西班牙健康影响的研究中发现的基本偏差。作为次要目标,如果这些研究控制了这些偏差,我们将介绍控制这些偏差的方法,并讨论相关研究的结果。

方法

我们对截至 2018 年 6 月发表的文献进行了系统回顾。我们评估了所有合格研究中可能发生的偏差。

结果

从综述中,我们最终选择了 53 项研究。在我们回顾的研究中,60.38%或 53 项中的 32 项被评估为存在高偏倚风险。我们的综述揭示的主要偏差是评估问题、时间偏差、无法控制未观察到的混杂因素以及在定义大衰退开始时的非同质性。

结论

控制了偏差的研究结果相当一致。总之,综述发现大衰退增加了自评健康状况不佳和心理健康恶化的风险。大衰退后,死亡率和自杀率很可能会上升,可能会有三到四年的延迟。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b6b8/6678595/6bc25539617c/ijerph-16-02479-g001.jpg

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