Martinez Edson Zangiacomi, Zucoloto Miriane Lucindo, Silva Anderson Soares da, Brunherotti Marisa Afonso Andrade
Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto, Universidade de São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brasil.
Universidade de Franca, Franca, SP, Brasil.
Rev Soc Bras Med Trop. 2019 Jul 18;52:e20180532. doi: 10.1590/0037-8682-0532-2018.
Although congenital syphilis is preventable, its incidence has increased in Brazil.
In this ecological study, a Bayesian spatio-temporal model was used to estimate the attributable fraction of congenital syphilis cases due to the lack of prenatal care recorded between 2010 and 2015 in the state of São Paulo, Southeast Brazil.
For the year 2016, it was estimated that between 79.4% and 95.3% of the congenital syphilis cases among women who did not have prenatal care could have been prevented.
A significant proportion of congenital syphilis cases can be prevented if prenatal care coverage is expanded.
尽管先天性梅毒是可预防的，但在巴西其发病率却有所上升。
在这项生态学研究中，采用贝叶斯时空模型来估计2010年至2015年期间巴西东南部圣保罗州记录的因缺乏产前护理而导致的先天性梅毒病例的归因比例。
对于2016年，估计在没有接受产前护理的女性中，79.4%至95.3%的先天性梅毒病例本可得到预防。
如果扩大产前护理覆盖范围，很大一部分先天性梅毒病例是可以预防的。
