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巴西东北部阿拉戈斯州麻风病所致身体残疾:时空建模

Physical disabilities due to leprosy in Alagoas State, Northeast Brazil: a temporal and spatial modeling.

作者信息

Souza Carlos Dornels Freire de, Tavares Daniela Lessa de Carvalho, Tavares Clodis Maria, Almeida Alda Graciele Claudio Dos Santos, Accioly Selma Maria Pereira da Silva, Paiva João Paulo Silva de, Leal Thiago Cavalcanti, Santos Victor Santana

机构信息

Núcleo de Estudos em Medicina Social e Preventiva (NEMSP), Departamento de Medicina, Universidade Federal de Alagoas, Arapiraca, AL, Brasil.

Escola de Enfermagem e Farmácia, Universidade Federal de Alagoas, Maceió, AL, Brasil.

出版信息

Rev Soc Bras Med Trop. 2019 Jul 18;52:e20180540. doi: 10.1590/0037-8682-0540-2018.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Monitoring disability trends is required to evaluate leprosy elimination. We assessed the trends in disability indicators and its association with space in Alagoas, Brazil.

METHODS

We conducted an ecological study in all leprosy cases from 2006 to 2016. Disability indicators were analyzed using the joinpoint regression model.

RESULTS

The proportion of new cases with grade 2 disability at diagnosis ranged from 4.7% to 11.9% (annual percent change, 1.4; P= 0.7), while at discharge, it ranged from 0.0% to 12.3% (annual percent change, -21.8; P= 0.2).

CONCLUSIONS

Disability indicators had a stable trend over the study period.

摘要

引言

监测残疾趋势对于评估麻风病消除工作很有必要。我们评估了巴西阿拉戈斯州残疾指标的趋势及其与空间的关联。

方法

我们对2006年至2016年所有麻风病病例进行了一项生态学研究。使用连接点回归模型分析残疾指标。

结果

诊断时二级残疾新病例的比例在4.7%至11.9%之间(年变化百分比,1.4;P = 0.7),而出院时,该比例在0.0%至12.3%之间(年变化百分比,-21.8;P = 0.2)。

结论

在研究期间,残疾指标呈稳定趋势。

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