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由基线 TLG 和 %ΔSUV 组成的预后模型可更好地预测弥漫性大 B 细胞淋巴瘤的无进展生存期。

A better prediction of progression-free survival in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma by a prognostic model consisting of baseline TLG and %ΔSUV.

机构信息

Department of Hematology, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China.

Department of Nuclear Medicine, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Cancer Med. 2019 Sep;8(11):5137-5147. doi: 10.1002/cam4.2284. Epub 2019 Jul 25.

DOI:10.1002/cam4.2284
PMID:31343111
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6718622/
Abstract

In the era of rituximab, the International Prognostic Index (IPI) has been inefficient in initial risk stratification for patients with R-CHOP-treated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). To estimate the predictive values of PET/CT quantitative parameters and three prognostic models consisting of baseline and interim parameters for three-year progression-free survival (PFS), we conducted an analysis of 85 patients in China with DLBCL underwent baseline and interim PET/CT scans and treated at the Department of Hematology of Peking University Third Hospital from November 2012 to November 2017. The PET/CT parameters, viz. the baseline and interim values of standardized uptake value (SUV ), total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and their rates of change, were analyzed by a receiver operating characteristics curve, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and log-rank test. Besides, the National Comprehensive Cancer Network International Prognostic Index (NCCN-IPI) was also included in the multivariate Cox hazards model. Owing to the strong correlation between TMTV and TLG at baseline and interim (Pearson's correlation coefficient, r = 0.823, P-value = 0.000, and 0.988, P-value = 0.000, respectively), only TLG was included in the multivariate Cox hazards model, where TLG  > 1036.61 g and %ΔSUV  < 86.02% showed predictive value independently (HR = 10.42, 95% CI 2.35-46.30, P = 0.002, and HR = 4.86, 95% CI 1.27-18.54, P = 0.021, respectively). Replacing TLG in the equation, TMTV and TMTV both showed significantly predictive abilities like TLG (HR = 8.22, 95% CI 1.86-32.24, P = 0.005, and HR = 2.96, 95% CI 1.16-7.54, P = 0.023, respectively). After dichotomy, NCCN-IPI also gave a significant performance (P = 0.035 and P = 0.010, respectively, in TLG and TMTV models). The baseline variables, that is, TMTV , TLG and dichotomized NCCN-IPI, and the interim variables TMTV and %ΔSUV , presented independent prognostic value for PFS. In prognostic model 2 (TLG  + %ΔSUV ), the group with TLG  > 1036.61 g and %ΔSUV  < 86.02% recognized 19 (82.6%) of the relapse or progression events, which showed the best screening ability among three models consisting of baseline and interim PET/CT parameters.

摘要

在利妥昔单抗时代,国际预后指数(IPI)在接受 R-CHOP 治疗的弥漫性大 B 细胞淋巴瘤(DLBCL)患者的初始风险分层中效率低下。为了评估 PET/CT 定量参数和三个包含基线和中期参数的预后模型对于 3 年无进展生存(PFS)的预测价值,我们对 2012 年 11 月至 2017 年 11 月在中国北京大学第三医院血液科接受基线和中期 PET/CT 扫描并接受治疗的 85 例 DLBCL 患者进行了分析。通过受试者工作特征曲线、Kaplan-Meier 分析和对数秩检验分析了 PET/CT 参数,即基线和中期标准化摄取值(SUV)、总代谢肿瘤体积(TMTV)和总病变糖酵解(TLG)及其变化率。此外,还将国家综合癌症网络国际预后指数(NCCN-IPI)纳入多变量 Cox 风险模型。由于 TMTV 和 TLG 在基线和中期具有很强的相关性(Pearson 相关系数,r=0.823,P 值=0.000 和 0.988,P 值=0.000),仅 TLG 被纳入多变量 Cox 风险模型,其中 TLG>1036.61 g 和 %ΔSUV<86.02% 具有独立的预测价值(HR=10.42,95%CI 2.35-46.30,P=0.002 和 HR=4.86,95%CI 1.27-18.54,P=0.021)。在方程中替换 TLG 后,TMTV 和 TMTV 都显示出与 TLG 相似的显著预测能力(HR=8.22,95%CI 1.86-32.24,P=0.005 和 HR=2.96,95%CI 1.16-7.54,P=0.023)。经过二分法后,NCCN-IPI 也表现出显著的性能(在 TLG 和 TMTV 模型中,P=0.035 和 P=0.010)。基线变量,即 TMTV、TLG 和二分类的 NCCN-IPI,以及中期变量 TMTV 和 %ΔSUV,为 PFS 提供了独立的预后价值。在预后模型 2(TLG+%ΔSUV)中,TLG>1036.61 g 和 %ΔSUV<86.02%的组识别出 19 次(82.6%)复发或进展事件,在包含基线和中期 PET/CT 参数的三个模型中具有最佳的筛查能力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a5d4/6718622/f1fbffa5713b/CAM4-8-5137-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a5d4/6718622/f1fbffa5713b/CAM4-8-5137-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a5d4/6718622/f1fbffa5713b/CAM4-8-5137-g001.jpg

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