Centre for Ecology and Conservation, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, UK.
Environment and Sustainability Institute, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, UK.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019 Sep 16;374(1781):20180211. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0211. Epub 2019 Jul 29.
The emergence and spread of infections can contribute to the decline and extinction of populations, particularly in conjunction with anthropogenic environmental change. The importance of heterogeneity in processes of transmission, resistance and tolerance is increasingly well understood in theory, but empirical studies that consider both the demographic and behavioural implications of infection are scarce. Non-random mixing of host individuals can impact the demographic thresholds that determine the amplification or attenuation of disease prevalence. Risk assessment and management of disease in threatened wildlife populations must therefore consider not just host density, but also the social structure of host populations. Here we integrate the most recent developments in epidemiological research from a demographic and social network perspective, and synthesize the latest developments in social network modelling for wildlife disease, to explore their applications to disease management in populations in decline and at risk of extinction. We use simulated examples to support our key points and reveal how disease-management strategies can and should exploit both behavioural and demographic information to prevent or control the spread of disease. Our synthesis highlights the importance of considering the combined impacts of demographic and behavioural processes in epidemics to successful disease management in a conservation context. This article is part of the theme issue 'Linking behaviour to dynamics of populations and communities: application of novel approaches in behavioural ecology to conservation'.
传染病的出现和传播可能导致种群的减少和灭绝,特别是在与人为环境变化结合的情况下。在理论上,越来越多的人理解了传播、抵抗力和耐受性过程中的异质性的重要性,但考虑到感染的人口统计学和行为学影响的实证研究仍然很少。宿主个体的非随机混合会影响决定疾病流行程度放大或衰减的人口统计学阈值。因此,对受威胁野生动物种群的疾病进行风险评估和管理不仅必须考虑宿主密度,还要考虑宿主种群的社会结构。在这里,我们从人口统计学和社会网络的角度综合了流行病学研究的最新进展,并综合了野生动物疾病社会网络建模的最新进展,以探讨它们在种群减少和面临灭绝风险的疾病管理中的应用。我们使用模拟示例来支持我们的要点,并揭示疾病管理策略如何以及应该利用行为和人口统计学信息来预防或控制疾病的传播。我们的综合分析强调了在保护背景下成功进行疾病管理时,需要考虑到人口统计学和行为过程的综合影响。本文是主题为“将行为与种群和群落动态联系起来:行为生态学中新颖方法在保护中的应用”的一部分。