Department of Medicine, University of Rochester, Rochester, USA.
Department of General Medicine, University of Rochester, Rochester, USA.
J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2020 Jan;49(1):34-41. doi: 10.1007/s11239-019-01922-w.
Several risk stratification tools are available to predict short-term mortality in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The presence of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction is an independent predictor of mortality and may be a more efficient way to stratify risk for patients assessed by a Pulmonary Embolism Response Team (PERT). We evaluated 571 patients presenting with acute PE, then stratified them by the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI), by the BOVA score, or categorically as low risk (no RV dysfunction by imaging), intermediate risk/submassive (RV dysfunction by imaging), or high risk/massive PE (RV dysfunction with sustained hypotension). Using imaging data to firstly define the presence of RV strain, and plasma cardiac biomarkers as additional evidence for myocardial dysfunction, we evaluated whether PESI, BOVA, or RV strain by imaging were more appropriate for determining patient risk by a PERT where rapid decision making is important. Cardiac biomarkers poorly distinguished between PESI classes and BOVA stages in patients with acute PE. Cardiac TnT and NT-proBNP easily distinguished low risk from submassive PE with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84 (95% CI 0.73-0.95, p < 0.0001), and 0.88 (95% CI 0.79-0.97, p < 0.0001), respectively. Cardiac TnT and NT-proBNP easily distinguished low risk from massive PE with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.89 (95% CI 0.78-1.00, p < 0.0001), and 0.89 (95% CI 0.82-0.95, p < 0.0001), respectively. In patients with RV dysfunction, the predicted short-term mortality by PESI score or BOVA stage was lower than the observed mortality by a two-fold order of magnitude. The presence of RV dysfunction alone in the context of acute PE is sufficient for the purposes of risk stratification. More complicated risk stratification tools which require the consideration of multiple clinical variables may under-estimate short-term mortality risk.
有几种风险分层工具可用于预测急性肺栓塞 (PE) 患者的短期死亡率。右心室 (RV) 功能障碍的存在是死亡率的独立预测因素,并且可能是通过肺栓塞反应小组 (PERT) 评估的患者进行风险分层的更有效方法。我们评估了 571 名出现急性 PE 的患者,然后根据肺栓塞严重指数 (PESI)、BOVA 评分或通过影像学检查确定为低危 (无 RV 功能障碍)、中危/亚大块 (RV 功能障碍通过影像学检查)或高危/大块 PE (RV 功能障碍伴持续低血压)进行分层。使用影像学数据首先定义 RV 应变的存在,并将血浆心脏生物标志物作为心肌功能障碍的额外证据,我们评估了在快速决策很重要的情况下,PESI、BOVA 或通过影像学检查的 RV 应变是否更适合通过 PERT 确定患者风险。心脏生物标志物在急性 PE 患者中难以区分 PESI 分级和 BOVA 分期。心脏肌钙蛋白 T 和 NT-proBNP 可轻松区分高危和亚大块 PE,曲线下面积 (AUC) 分别为 0.84(95%CI 0.73-0.95,p<0.0001)和 0.88(95%CI 0.79-0.97,p<0.0001)。心脏肌钙蛋白 T 和 NT-proBNP 可轻松区分高危和大块 PE,曲线下面积 (AUC) 分别为 0.89(95%CI 0.78-1.00,p<0.0001)和 0.89(95%CI 0.82-0.95,p<0.0001)。在 RV 功能障碍的患者中,PESI 评分或 BOVA 分期预测的短期死亡率低于观察到的死亡率两倍以上。急性 PE 中单独存在 RV 功能障碍足以进行风险分层。需要考虑多个临床变量的更复杂的风险分层工具可能会低估短期死亡率风险。