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评估高固厌氧消化结构化模型校准和交叉验证期间的实际可识别性。

Assessing practical identifiability during calibration and cross-validation of a structured model for high-solids anaerobic digestion.

机构信息

Department of Civil and Mechanical Engineering, University of Cassino and Southern Lazio, via Di Biasio 43, 03043, Cassino, FR, Italy; LBE, Univ. Montpellier, INRA, 102 Avenue des Etangs, 11100, Narbonne, France.

Department of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, University of Napoli Federico II, via Claudio 21, 80125, Napoli, Italy.

出版信息

Water Res. 2019 Nov 1;164:114932. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2019.114932. Epub 2019 Jul 30.

DOI:10.1016/j.watres.2019.114932
PMID:31400592
Abstract

High-solids anaerobic digestion (HS-AD) of the organic fraction of municipal solid waste (OFMSW) is operated at a total solid (TS) content ≥ 10% to enhance the waste treatment economy, though it might be associated to free ammonia (NH) inhibition. This study aimed to calibrate and cross-validate a HS-AD model for homogenized reactors in order to assess the effects of high NH levels in HS-AD of OFMSW, but also to evaluate the suitability of the reversible non-competitive inhibition function to reproduce the effect of NH on the main acetogenic and methanogenic populations. The practical identifiability of structural/biochemical parameters (i.e. 35) and initial conditions (i.e. 32) was evaluated using batch experiments at different TS and/or inoculum-to-substrate ratios. Variance-based global sensitivity analysis and approximate Bayesian computation were used for parameter optimization. The experimental data in this study permitted to estimate up to 8 biochemical parameters, whereas the rest of parameters and biomass contents were poorly identifiable. The study also showed the relatively high levels of NH (i.e. up to 2.3 g N/L) and ionic strength (i.e. up to 0.9 M) when increasing TS in HS-AD of OFMSW. However, the NH non-competitive function was unable to capture the acetogenic/methanogenic inhibition. Therefore, the calibration emphasized the need for target-oriented experimental data to enhance the practical identifiability and the predictive capabilities of structured HS-AD models, but also the need for further testing the NH inhibition function used in these simulations.

摘要

高固体厌氧消化(HS-AD)的有机废物(OFMSW)的一部分是在总固体(TS)含量≥10%的运行,以提高废物处理的经济效益,虽然它可能与游离氨(NH)的抑制作用有关。本研究旨在校准和交叉验证用于均相反应器的 HS-AD 模型,以评估高 NH 水平对 OFMSW 的 HS-AD 的影响,但也要评估可逆非竞争性抑制功能是否适合再现 NH 对主要产酸和产甲烷菌群的影响。使用不同 TS 和/或接种物-底物比的分批实验评估了结构/生化参数(即 35 个)和初始条件(即 32 个)的实际可识别性。方差全局敏感性分析和近似贝叶斯计算用于参数优化。本研究中的实验数据允许估计多达 8 个生化参数,而其余参数和生物质含量则难以识别。该研究还表明,当 OFMSW 的 HS-AD 中 TS 增加时,NH(即高达 2.3 g N/L)和离子强度(即高达 0.9 M)的相对水平较高。然而,NH 非竞争性函数无法捕获产酸/产甲烷抑制作用。因此,校准强调了需要针对目标的实验数据来提高结构化 HS-AD 模型的实际可识别性和预测能力,同时也需要进一步测试这些模拟中使用的 NH 抑制功能。

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