School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou, 310018, China; Center for Regional Economy & Integrated Development, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou, 310018, China.
School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou, 310018, China.
J Environ Manage. 2019 Nov 1;249:109370. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109370. Epub 2019 Aug 8.
Using the logarithmic mean divisia index decomposition methods within the multi-region input-output analytical framework, this paper investigates global energy-related sulfur oxides emissions transferring via trade, so as to reveal spatial characteristics of the pollutant emissions flows, and explores driving factors of the changes of sulfur dioxide emissions embodied in trade (SEET) for 39 major countries for the period 1995-2011. One important finding from this study is that the global SEET mainly flew from developing countries like China to highly developed economies like the U.S., the EU, and Japan. However, of particular concern is that for some countries like Canada and Australia with ample resources and wealthy regions, they had been gradually becoming the net sulfur dioxide emissions exporters in global trade since 1995. Another important finding is that economic development had played a significant role in promoting the global SEET growth, and the expanse of population scale had a slight and positive driving effect on increasing the sulfur oxides emissions embodied in trade for a large proportion of 39 countries, but some coping strategies like improving energy intensity, increasing the proportion of clean energy in the total energy consumption, and optimizing industrial structure could effectively lower the sulfur oxides emissions embodied in trade in a group of 39 countries.
本文运用多区域投入产出分析框架中的对数平均迪氏指数分解方法,研究了贸易隐含的全球能源相关硫氧化物排放转移,以揭示污染物排放流的空间特征,并探讨了 1995-2011 年 39 个主要国家贸易隐含二氧化硫排放变化(SEET)的驱动因素。本研究的一个重要发现是,全球 SEET 主要来自中国等发展中国家向美国、欧盟和日本等发达经济体转移。然而,令人特别关注的是,对于加拿大和澳大利亚等资源丰富、富裕地区的国家来说,自 1995 年以来,它们逐渐成为全球贸易中的净二氧化硫排放出口国。另一个重要发现是,经济发展在促进全球 SEET 增长方面发挥了重要作用,人口规模的扩大对增加 39 个国家中很大一部分国家贸易隐含的硫氧化物排放有轻微的积极推动作用,但一些应对策略,如提高能源强度、增加清洁能源在总能源消耗中的比例以及优化产业结构,可以有效地降低 39 个国家的贸易隐含硫氧化物排放。