China Institute for Studies in Energy Policy, School of Management, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361005, People's Republic of China.
School of Management, China University of Mining & Technology-Beijing, Beijing, 100083, People's Republic of China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Aug;30(36):85850-85866. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28482-0. Epub 2023 Jul 2.
Recent literature highlights the contributions the global energy sector has made to anthropogenic CH emissions, calling for immediate action. However, extant studies have failed to reveal the energy-related CH emissions induced by global trades of intermediate and final commodities or services. This paper traces fugitive CH emissions via global trade networks using the multi-regional input-output and complex network models. Results show that approximately four-fifths of global fugitive CH emissions in 2014 were associated with international trade, of which 83.07% and 16.93% were embodied in the intermediate and final trades, respectively. Japan, India, the USA, South Korea, and Germany were the world's five largest net importers of embodied fugitive CH emissions, while Indonesia, Russia, Nigeria, Qatar, and Iran were the five largest net exporters. Gas-related embodied emission transfers were the largest in both the intermediate and the final trade networks. The fugitive CH emissions embodied within the intermediate and final trade networks were all characterized by five trading communities. The virtual fugitive CH emission transfers via intermediate trade were largely determined by global energy trade patterns, especially the trade in regionally integrated crude oil and natural gas. Significant heterogeneity was revealed by the coexistence of numerous loosely linked economies and several hub economies (e.g., China, Germany, the USA, and South Africa). Interventions on the demand side of interregional and intraregional trade partners in different communities and hub economies will bring targeted opportunities for global energy-related CH emission reduction.
近期文献强调了全球能源部门对人为 CH 排放的贡献,呼吁立即采取行动。然而,现有研究未能揭示全球中间品和最终商品或服务贸易所导致的与能源相关的 CH 排放。本文利用多区域投入产出和复杂网络模型,通过全球贸易网络追踪逸散性 CH 排放。结果表明,2014 年全球约五分之四的逸散性 CH 排放与国际贸易有关,其中 83.07%和 16.93%分别包含在中间品和最终品贸易中。日本、印度、美国、韩国和德国是全球五大大宗逸散性 CH 排放净进口国,而印度尼西亚、俄罗斯、尼日利亚、卡塔尔和伊朗则是全球五大大宗逸散性 CH 排放净出口国。与气体相关的包含排放转移在中间品和最终品贸易网络中都是最大的。中间品和最终品贸易网络中包含的逸散性 CH 排放都具有五个贸易群体的特征。通过中间品贸易的虚拟逸散性 CH 排放转移在很大程度上取决于全球能源贸易模式,特别是区域性一体化的原油和天然气贸易。许多松散联系的经济体和几个枢纽经济体(如中国、德国、美国和南非)共存,显示出显著的异质性。在不同社区和枢纽经济体的区域间和区域内贸易伙伴的需求端进行干预,将为全球与能源相关的 CH 减排带来有针对性的机会。