Department of Sociology and Human Geography, University of Oslo, P.O. box 1096, Blindern, 0317 Oslo, Norway.
Department of Sociology and Human Geography, University of Oslo, P.O. box 1096, Blindern, 0317 Oslo, Norway; Section for Youth Research, Norwegian Social Research, OsloMet - Oslo Metropolitan University, P.O. box 4, St. Olavs plass, 0130 Oslo, Norway.
Drug Alcohol Depend. 2019 Oct 1;203:35-43. doi: 10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2019.05.031. Epub 2019 Aug 1.
Adolescent alcohol consumption has fallen in most Western countries over the past two decades, while immigrants and children of immigrants from low-consumption countries constitute a growing proportion of teenagers in many Western nations. We investigate the extent to which immigrants and children of immigrants have contributed to the decline in adolescent heavy episodic drinking in Oslo, the capital of Norway.
We use repeated cross-sectional survey data on adolescents in grades 9-11 in Oslo (aged around 14-16, N = 54,474) from 1996 to 2018. We use data on heavy episodic drinking/intoxication in the past 12 months (dichotomized), immigrant background, sex and grade. We decompose the trend into components attributable to changes in the demographic composition of the adolescent population (by immigrant background, grade and sex), and to changes in drinking patterns within different groups. Confidence intervals (CIs) are obtained by bootstrap resampling.
The proportion of adolescents with immigrant backgrounds increased from 21% to 35% over the time span. The proportion reporting having been intoxicated fell from 42% to 25%. Most of the decline stems from reduced heavy episodic drinking in the majority population, accounting for 70.8% of the reduction (95% CI: 67.5-74.2). The increased proportion of adolescents with an immigrant background accounts for 21.4% of the decline (95% CI: 19.2-23.8).
An increasing proportion of immigrants and children of immigrants with low alcohol consumption explains one-fifth of the decline in the prevalence of adolescent heavy episodic drinking in Oslo.
在过去的二十年中，大多数西方国家青少年的饮酒量有所下降，而来自低消费国家的移民和移民子女在许多西方国家的青少年中所占比例越来越大。我们调查了移民和移民子女对挪威首都奥斯陆青少年重度间歇性饮酒下降的贡献程度。
我们使用了 1996 年至 2018 年期间奥斯陆 9-11 年级（年龄约为 14-16 岁）青少年的重复横断面调查数据（N=54474）。我们使用了过去 12 个月内重度间歇性饮酒/醉酒的情况（二分类）、移民背景、性别和年级的数据。我们将趋势分解为青少年人口的人口构成变化（按移民背景、年级和性别）和不同群体内部饮酒模式变化的组成部分。置信区间（CI）通过自举重采样获得。
具有移民背景的青少年比例从 21%增加到 35%。报告醉酒的比例从 42%下降到 25%。下降的大部分原因是大多数人群重度间歇性饮酒减少，占减少的 70.8%（95%CI：67.5-74.2）。移民背景青少年比例的增加占下降的 21.4%（95%CI：19.2-23.8）。
越来越多的低饮酒量移民和移民子女占青少年重度间歇性饮酒流行率下降的五分之一。
