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疫苗犹豫和(假)新闻:来自意大利的准实验证据。

Vaccine hesitancy and (fake) news: Quasi-experimental evidence from Italy.

机构信息

Department of Law, Economics and Sociology, "Magna Graecia" University, Catanzaro, Italy.

RWI Research Network, Essen, Germany.

出版信息

Health Econ. 2019 Nov;28(11):1377-1382. doi: 10.1002/hec.3937. Epub 2019 Aug 20.

Abstract

The spread of fake news and misinformation on social media is blamed as a primary cause of vaccine hesitancy, which is one of the major threats to global health, according to the World Health Organization. This paper studies the effect of the diffusion of misinformation on immunization rates in Italy by exploiting a quasi-experiment that occurred in 2012, when the Court of Rimini officially recognized a causal link between the measles-mumps-rubella vaccine and autism and awarded injury compensation. To this end, we exploit the virality of misinformation following the 2012 Italian court's ruling, along with the intensity of exposure to nontraditional media driven by regional infrastructural differences in Internet broadband coverage. Using a Difference-in-Differences regression on regional panel data, we show that the spread of this news resulted in a decrease in child immunization rates for all types of vaccines.

摘要

社交媒体上假新闻和错误信息的传播被认为是疫苗犹豫的主要原因之一,而疫苗犹豫是全球健康的主要威胁之一。根据世界卫生组织的说法。本文通过利用 2012 年发生的一项准实验来研究错误信息传播对意大利免疫率的影响,当时里米尼法院正式认定麻疹-腮腺炎-风疹疫苗与自闭症之间存在因果关系,并判给了伤害赔偿。为此,我们利用 2012 年意大利法院裁决后错误信息的传播性,以及由于互联网宽带覆盖的区域基础设施差异而导致的非传统媒体的曝光强度。我们利用区域面板数据的双重差分回归表明,这条新闻的传播导致了所有类型疫苗的儿童免疫率下降。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d660/6851894/5a76e2adcad4/HEC-28-1377-g001.jpg

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