Ballard Tristan C, Michalak Anna M, McIsaac Gregory F, Rabalais Nancy N, Turner R Eugene
Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Science. 2019 Aug 23;365(6455). doi: 10.1126/science.aau8401.
Van Meter (Reports, 27 April 2018, p. 427) warn that achieving nitrogen reduction goals in the Gulf of Mexico will take decades as a result of legacy nitrogen effects. We discuss limitations of the modeling approach and demonstrate that legacy effects ranging from a few years to decades are equally consistent with observations. The presented time scales for system recovery are therefore highly uncertain.
范米特(《报告》,2018年4月27日,第427页)警告说,由于遗留氮的影响,要在墨西哥湾实现氮减排目标需要数十年时间。我们讨论了建模方法的局限性,并证明从几年到几十年的遗留效应同样与观测结果相符。因此,所提出的系统恢复时间尺度具有高度不确定性。