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对《遗留氮可能阻碍墨西哥湾水质目标的实现》的评论

Comment on "Legacy nitrogen may prevent achievement of water quality goals in the Gulf of Mexico".

作者信息

Ballard Tristan C, Michalak Anna M, McIsaac Gregory F, Rabalais Nancy N, Turner R Eugene

机构信息

Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.

Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.

出版信息

Science. 2019 Aug 23;365(6455). doi: 10.1126/science.aau8401.

Abstract

Van Meter (Reports, 27 April 2018, p. 427) warn that achieving nitrogen reduction goals in the Gulf of Mexico will take decades as a result of legacy nitrogen effects. We discuss limitations of the modeling approach and demonstrate that legacy effects ranging from a few years to decades are equally consistent with observations. The presented time scales for system recovery are therefore highly uncertain.

摘要

范米特(《报告》,2018年4月27日,第427页)警告说,由于遗留氮的影响,要在墨西哥湾实现氮减排目标需要数十年时间。我们讨论了建模方法的局限性,并证明从几年到几十年的遗留效应同样与观测结果相符。因此,所提出的系统恢复时间尺度具有高度不确定性。

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