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一项基于省份的使用烧炭自杀预防策略的效果:初步时间序列分析

Effects of a Province-Based Strategy to Prevent Suicide Using Charcoal Burning: A Preliminary Time Series Analysis.

作者信息

Jo Sun-Jin, Yun Mi Kyung, Lee Myung-Soo

机构信息

Department of Preventive Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Gyeonggi Provincial Suicide Prevention Center, Suwon, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Psychiatry Investig. 2019 Aug;16(8):621-624. doi: 10.30773/pi.2019.06.13. Epub 2019 Aug 21.

Abstract

The suicide rate in Korea has been declining steadily after peaking in 2011. However, to date, time-series analyses of Korean suicide rate data have mainly addressed factors related to increases in suicide rates. This study analyzed one of the most important evidence-based public health strategies to decrease suicide, that is, preventive effects of restricting access to lethal means via a charcoal-selling procedure improvement campaign, using multivariate time series analysis. The results showed the campaign in Gyeonggi Province had a significant effect on decreasing the number of charcoal-burning suicides in this area. It is believed that the present study has important implications in terms of providing the first empirical evidence for the charcoal-selling procedure improvement campaign in Korea. Further repeated research is needed to evaluate the impact of the intervention when the more enough observational data become available.

摘要

韩国的自杀率在2011年达到峰值后一直在稳步下降。然而,迄今为止,对韩国自杀率数据的时间序列分析主要关注与自杀率上升相关的因素。本研究采用多元时间序列分析,分析了减少自杀最重要的循证公共卫生策略之一,即通过改进木炭销售程序限制获取致命手段的预防效果。结果显示,京畿道的这项活动对减少该地区的烧炭自杀人数有显著效果。据信,本研究对于为韩国木炭销售程序改进活动提供首个实证证据具有重要意义。当有更多观测数据可用时,需要进一步进行重复研究以评估干预的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/78f7/6710423/53272c8e062a/pi-2019-06-13f1.jpg

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