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有备无患?家庭备灾对“桑迪”超级风暴灾害后果的影响。

Does Preparedness Matter? The Influence of Household Preparedness on Disaster Outcomes During Superstorm Sandy.

机构信息

Health Services Administration, D'Youville College, Buffalo, New York.

Disaster Research Center, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware.

出版信息

Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2020 Feb;14(1):71-79. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2019.78.

DOI:10.1017/dmp.2019.78
PMID:31452492
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study empirically examines preparedness with a kit, medication, and a disaster plan on disaster outcomes including perceived recovery, property damage, and use of medical or mental health services.

METHODS

Using a cross-sectional, retrospective study design, 1114 households in New York City were interviewed 21-34 months following Super Storm Sandy. Bivariate associations were examined and logistic regression models fit to predict the odds of disaster outcomes given the level of preparedness.

RESULTS

Respondents with an evacuation plan were more likely to report not being recovered (odds ratio [OR] = 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.5-3.8), property damage (OR = 1.4; 95% CI: 1.1-1.9), and use of medical services (OR = 2.3; 95% CI: 1.1-4.5). Respondents reporting a supply of prescription medication were more likely to report using mental health (OR = 3.5; 95% CI: 1.2-9.8) and medical services (OR = 2.3; 95% CI: 1.1-4.8).

CONCLUSIONS

Having a kit, plan, and medication did not reduce risk of adverse outcomes in Superstorm Sandy in this sample. Disaster managers should consider the lack of evidence for preparedness when making public education and resource allocation decisions. Additional research is needed to identify preparedness measures that lead to better outcomes for more efficient and effective response and recovery.

摘要

目的

本研究通过实证检验,考察了受灾户在准备急救包、药物、灾害预案方面的准备程度对受灾结果(包括受灾户感知的恢复情况、财产损失以及使用医疗或心理健康服务情况)的影响。

方法

本研究采用横断面回溯研究设计,在超级风暴桑迪发生后 21-34 个月,对纽约市 1114 户家庭进行了调查。本研究对两者之间的关联进行了双变量关联分析,并通过逻辑回归模型,预测了在不同准备程度下,受灾户发生受灾结果的概率。

结果

有撤离计划的受访者更有可能报告自己未恢复(比值比[OR] = 2.4;95%置信区间[CI]:1.5-3.8)、财产受损(OR = 1.4;95% CI:1.1-1.9)和使用医疗服务(OR = 2.3;95% CI:1.1-4.5)的可能性。报告储备有处方药的受访者更有可能报告使用心理健康(OR = 3.5;95% CI:1.2-9.8)和医疗服务(OR = 2.3;95% CI:1.1-4.8)的可能性。

结论

在本研究样本中,有急救包、计划和药物并不降低超级风暴桑迪的不良后果风险。灾害管理人员在做出公共教育和资源分配决策时,应考虑到准备措施缺乏证据的情况。需要进一步研究,以确定哪些准备措施能带来更好的结果,从而提高应对和恢复的效率和效果。

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