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伊朗溺水死亡率趋势。

Trends in the drowning mortality rate in Iran.

机构信息

Sina Trauma and Surgery Research Center (STSRC), Tehran University of Medical Sciences (TUMS), Tehran, The Islamic Republic of Iran.

Student Research Committee, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, The Islamic Republic of Iran.

出版信息

Inj Prev. 2020 Aug;26(4):351-359. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043225. Epub 2019 Aug 30.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The WHO estimates the global incidence of death by drowning to be about 300 000 cases per year. The objective of this study was to estimate the trend in mortality due to drowning in all provinces of Iran in all age groups and both genders from 1990 to 2015.

STUDY DESIGN

The National and Subnational Burden of Diseases (NASBOD) project is a comprehensive project in Iran. It is based on the Global Burden of Disease study and includes novel methods to estimate the burden of diseases in Iran.

METHODS

This study used the results of the mortality rate due to drowning as part of NASBOD and investigated the causes behind the mortality rates. The data set recorded mortality rates by 19 age groups and two genders with the corresponding subnational pattern during the time period from 1990 to 2015.

RESULTS

The drowning mortality rate decreased in Iran from 1990 to 2015. From 1990 to 2015, the annual percentage change for males and females was -5.28% and -10.73%, respectively. There were 56 184 male and 21 589 female fatalities during the study period. The highest number of deaths was seen in 1993 with 4459, and the lowest number of fatalities was observed in 2015 with 903 deaths.

CONCLUSION

Our data showed a decline in drowning mortality in Iran from 1990 to 2015, but the rates and declines varied by province. Our findings are of great importance to health officials and authorities in order to further reduce the burden of drowning.

摘要

目的

世界卫生组织估计全球每年溺水死亡人数约为 30 万例。本研究的目的是估算 1990 年至 2015 年期间伊朗所有省份所有年龄段和性别因溺水导致的死亡率趋势。

研究设计

国家和次国家级疾病负担(NASBOD)项目是伊朗的一个综合项目。它是基于全球疾病负担研究的,并采用了新的方法来估算伊朗的疾病负担。

方法

本研究使用了死亡率归因于溺水的结果,作为 NASBOD 的一部分,并调查了死亡率背后的原因。该数据集记录了 1990 年至 2015 年期间按年龄组和性别划分的死亡率以及相应的次国家级模式。

结果

1990 年至 2015 年,伊朗的溺水死亡率下降。1990 年至 2015 年,男性和女性的年百分比变化分别为-5.28%和-10.73%。在研究期间,有 56184 名男性和 21589 名女性死亡。死亡率最高的年份是 1993 年,为 4459 人,死亡率最低的年份是 2015 年,为 903 人。

结论

我们的数据显示,1990 年至 2015 年期间,伊朗溺水死亡率下降,但各省份的死亡率和降幅有所不同。我们的发现对卫生官员和当局具有重要意义,有助于进一步降低溺水负担。

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