Poethke H J
Lehrstuhl für Biologie V (Oekologie) der RWTH, Aachen, Fed. Rep. Germany.
Acta Biotheor. 1988;37(2):121-47. doi: 10.1007/BF00115900.
This paper addresses the question, which sex ratio will evolve in a population that is subject to mutation and drift. The problem is analyzed using a simulation model as well as analytical methods. A detailed simulation model for the evolution of a population's allele distribution shows that for the sex ratio game a wide spectrum of different population states may evolve from on the one hand a monomorphic state with one predominant allele and with all other alleles suppressed by the forces of selection, to on the other hand a polymorphism determined by recurrent mutations. Which of these states will evolve depends on the population size, the mating system and the rate of mutations. For the sex ratio game the evolutionary stable strategy (ESS), as defined by evolutionary game theory, can only predict the population sex ratio but not the underlying stable population state. A comparison of different approaches to the problem shows that false predictions of the stable population states might result from two simplifying assumptions that are fairly common in evolutionary biology: a) it is assumed that mutations are rare events and there is never more than one mutant gene present in a population at any one time; b) a deterministic relationship is assumed between the fitness assigned to an individual's strategy and the individual's contribution to the gene pool of future generations.
本文探讨了在一个受到突变和遗传漂变影响的种群中,何种性别比例会发生进化。该问题通过模拟模型和分析方法进行分析。一个关于种群等位基因分布进化的详细模拟模型表明,对于性别比例博弈而言,一方面,从一个具有单一优势等位基因且所有其他等位基因被选择力抑制的单态状态,到另一方面,由反复突变决定的多态性状态,可能会进化出广泛的不同种群状态。这些状态中的哪一种会进化取决于种群大小、交配系统和突变率。对于性别比例博弈,进化博弈理论所定义的进化稳定策略(ESS)只能预测种群性别比例,而无法预测潜在的稳定种群状态。对该问题不同方法的比较表明,对稳定种群状态的错误预测可能源于进化生物学中相当常见的两个简化假设:a)假设突变是罕见事件,且在任何时候种群中都不会同时存在多个突变基因;b)假设赋予个体策略的适应度与个体对后代基因库的贡献之间存在确定性关系。