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2003-2015 年美国感恩、圣诞和情节日对出生性别比的影响。

The effects of Thanksgiving, Christmas and Valentine's Day on the sex ratio at birth in the United States, 2003-2015.

机构信息

National Statistics Office, Malta.

Academic Department of Paediatrics, Mater Dei Hospital, Malta.

出版信息

Early Hum Dev. 2020 Feb;141:104867. doi: 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2019.104867. Epub 2019 Sep 7.

DOI:10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2019.104867
PMID:31500941
Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Males are born slightly in excess of females and many factors have been shown to influence M/F, the sex ratio at birth. Seasonality has also been shown to impinge on M/F. This study was carried out in order to ascertain whether Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day and Valentine's Day had any influence on M/F in the United States population, nine months later.

METHODS

Births by ethnicity, region and sex were obtained from the website of the Centres for Disease Control. Analyses were applied to seasonally adjusted time series and non-seasonally adjusted series. A seasonally adjusted indirect result was calculated for the sex ratio.

RESULTS

This paper studied 53,105,069 live births for 2003-2015 (27,178,968 males, 25,926,101 females). M/F rises exceeding 90th and 95th percentiles were strongest for the seasonally adjusted series for all births in regions: South (CENS-R3), West (CENS-R4) and the time series All-regions_All-race. When comparing unadjusted and seasonally adjusted series, a similar pattern was observed in the regions Northeast and Midwest for American Indian or Alaska Native and Asian or Pacific Islander. A similar pattern was observed for the region Midwest for the ethnic group White.

DISCUSSION

M/F rose above the 90th percentile in all the series and occasionally above the 95th percentile. Increased periconceptual coital rates increases M/F and this study thus lends further credence to the hypothesis that coital rates around the time of conception causally influences the sex ratio of subsequent births nine months later, possibly due to a hormonal mechanism.

摘要

引言

男性的出生率略高于女性,许多因素已被证明会影响出生性别比(M/F)。季节性也会对 M/F 产生影响。本研究旨在确定美国人口中感恩节后、圣诞节后和情人节后九个月的出生性别比是否受到这些节日的影响。

方法

从疾病控制中心的网站上获取了按种族、地区和性别分类的出生数据。对季节性调整时间序列和非季节性调整序列进行了分析。使用间接法计算了季节性调整后的性别比。

结果

本研究分析了 2003 年至 2015 年期间的 53105069 例活产儿(男婴 27178968 例,女婴 25926101 例)。在所有地区(南部地区 CENS-R3、西部地区 CENS-R4 和全地区全种族时间序列 All-regions_All-race)的非季节性调整时间序列中,M/F 上升超过第 90 百分位和第 95 百分位的幅度最大。在比较未经调整和季节性调整的序列时,在东北部和中西部地区的美国印第安人或阿拉斯加原住民和亚洲或太平洋岛民中观察到类似的模式。在中西部地区的白人群体中也观察到了类似的模式。

讨论

在所有序列中,M/F 均高于第 90 百分位,有时甚至高于第 95 百分位。围孕期性行为频率增加会导致 M/F 升高,因此本研究进一步证实了这样一种假设,即受孕前后的性行为频率可能通过激素机制对九个月后出生的性别比产生因果影响。

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