Epidemic Intelligence Service, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Division of Foodborne, Waterborne, and Environmental Diseases, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Foodborne Pathog Dis. 2020 Jan;17(1):15-22. doi: 10.1089/fpd.2019.2711. Epub 2019 Sep 10.
Produce is recognized as a source of -related foodborne outbreaks in the United States. Identifying produce as a source of foodborne outbreaks is challenging given short product shelf lives and durations of many produce-associated outbreaks. Investigators consider produce a plausible source when illnesses occur over a short time period and disproportionately affect middle-aged or female individuals. We reviewed characteristics of past produce outbreaks and their consistency with principles used by epidemiologists when generating hypotheses about an outbreak source. We queried the Foodborne Disease Outbreak Surveillance System for multistate, produce-associated outbreaks reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention from 2009 to 2015. All produce-associated outbreaks were classified as fruit outbreaks or vegetable outbreaks using an established classification scheme. We then compared fruit and vegetable outbreaks by characteristics of size, gender, age, age groups, geographic spread, duration, and velocity measures using Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. Epidemic curves were created to display visual representations of outbreak duration and velocity. We identified 14 fruit outbreaks and 24 vegetable outbreaks. The median number of illnesses for all produce-associated outbreaks was 30 and a high median percentage of illnesses were in females (61.9%). Median age was 34 years, with a median of 53.2% of illnesses affecting the 18-59 age group. For all outbreaks, median duration was 77 d and median time to the 50th percentile of illnesses was 32.5 d. Fruit and vegetable outbreaks differed only in the age groups affected. We used outbreak data to verify common indicators of produce-associated outbreaks. Outbreaks affected females and middle-aged individuals more commonly, while fruit and vegetable outbreaks impacted different age groups. Although median outbreak duration was less than 12 weeks for both fruit and vegetable outbreaks, there was considerable variation, decreasing its utility as an indicator of produce as a source of the outbreak.
农产品被认为是美国与食源性疾病相关的爆发的源头。鉴于产品货架期短,以及许多与农产品相关的爆发持续时间长,确定农产品是食源性爆发的源头具有挑战性。当疾病在短时间内发生且 disproportionately 影响中年或女性个体时,调查人员会认为农产品是一个合理的来源。我们回顾了过去农产品爆发的特征及其与流行病学家在生成爆发源假设时使用的原则的一致性。我们使用既定的分类方案,从 2009 年至 2015 年向疾病控制与预防中心报告的多州、与农产品相关的爆发中,对食源性疾病爆发监测系统进行了查询。所有与农产品相关的爆发都被归类为水果爆发或蔬菜爆发。然后,我们使用 Wilcoxon 秩和检验比较了大小、性别、年龄、年龄组、地理分布、持续时间和速度测量的水果和蔬菜爆发。制作了流行曲线,以显示爆发持续时间和速度的直观表示。我们确定了 14 起水果爆发和 24 起蔬菜爆发。所有与农产品相关的爆发的平均发病数为 30,且高比例的发病者为女性(61.9%)。平均年龄为 34 岁,有 53.2%的平均发病者年龄在 18-59 岁之间。对于所有爆发,平均持续时间为 77 天,发病第 50 个百分位数的平均时间为 32.5 天。水果和蔬菜爆发仅在受影响的年龄组上有所不同。我们使用爆发数据来验证与农产品相关的爆发的常见指标。爆发更多地影响女性和中年个体,而水果和蔬菜爆发则影响不同的年龄组。尽管水果和蔬菜爆发的平均爆发持续时间均小于 12 周,但差异很大,降低了其作为爆发源农产品的指标的实用性。