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STABLE-2007 在评估性犯罪风险相关倾向方面具有预测性和增量有效性:一项荟萃分析。

STABLE-2007 Demonstrates Predictive and Incremental Validity in Assessing Risk-Relevant Propensities for Sexual Offending: A Meta-Analysis.

机构信息

Public Safety Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

Ryerson University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

出版信息

Sex Abuse. 2021 Feb;33(1):34-62. doi: 10.1177/1079063219871572. Epub 2019 Sep 13.

Abstract

STABLE-2007 is a measure of risk-relevant propensities for adult males convicted of a sexual offense. This meta-analysis evaluated the ability of STABLE-2007 and its items to discriminate between recidivists and nonrecidivists, and the extent to which STABLE-2007 improves prediction over and above Static-99R. Based on 21 studies (12 unique samples, = 6,955), we found that STABLE-2007 was significantly and incrementally related to sexual recidivism, violent (nonsexual) recidivism, violent (including sexual) recidivism, and any crime. Scores on STABLE-2007 items and the three STABLE-2000 attitude items also discriminated between individuals who sexually reoffended and those who did not sexually reoffend. These findings support the use of STABLE-2007 in applied risk assessment practice and the interpretation of STABLE-2007 items as indicators of treatment and supervision targets.

摘要

STABLE-2007 是一种衡量成年男性性犯罪风险倾向的指标。本荟萃分析评估了 STABLE-2007 及其项目区分累犯和非累犯的能力,以及 STABLE-2007 在超越 Static-99R 进行预测方面的程度。基于 21 项研究(12 个独特样本, = 6,955),我们发现 STABLE-2007 与性累犯、暴力(非性)累犯、暴力(包括性)累犯和任何犯罪显著且呈递增相关。STABLE-2007 项目和三个 STABLE-2000 态度项目的得分也可以区分再次发生性行为的人和没有再次发生性行为的人。这些发现支持在应用风险评估实践中使用 STABLE-2007,并将 STABLE-2007 项目解释为治疗和监管目标的指标。

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