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在社区性犯罪门诊环境中,性犯罪版暴力风险量表的有效性和可靠性。

Validity and reliability of the Violence Risk Scale-Sexual Offense version in a community sexual offense outpatient setting.

机构信息

Lifemark Health Group.

Department of Psychology and Health Studies, University of Saskatchewan.

出版信息

Psychol Assess. 2024 Jun-Jul;36(6-7):407-424. doi: 10.1037/pas0001318. Epub 2024 Apr 15.

DOI:10.1037/pas0001318
PMID:38619490
Abstract

The present study examined the convergent, structural, and predictive properties of Violence Risk Scale-Sexual Offense version (VRS-SO) scores in a sample of 200 men on community supervision for sexual offenses, attending forensic community outpatient services and followed up an average 8.6 years. The VRS-SO and two additional dynamic sexual recidivism risk measures-STABLE 2007 and Sex Offender Treatment Intervention and Progress Scale (SOTIPS)-were coded archivally from clinic files; Static-99R ratings were extracted. Recidivism data were captured from Royal Canadian Mounted Police records. VRS-SO static, dynamic, and total scores demonstrated expected patterns of convergence with total and subscale scores of the risk measures. Moreover, a confirmatory factor analysis of the VRS-SO dynamic item scores demonstrated acceptable model fit for a correlated three-factor solution consistent with prior confirmatory factor analyses. Discrimination analyses demonstrated that VRS-SO dynamic and total scores and STABLE 2007 scores had large prediction effects for 5-year sexual recidivism (area under the curves [AUCs] = .71-.72) while SOTIPS had a medium effect for this outcome (AUC = .67); the measures yielded medium to large effects for nonsexual recidivism. Cox regression survival analyses demonstrated that VRS-SO dynamic, Sexual Deviance factor, and SOTIPS scores each incrementally predicted sexual recidivism controlling for Static-99R or VRS-SO static factor scores. VRS-SO calibration analyses demonstrated that expected or predicted 5-year sexual recidivism rates showed generally close correspondence to the rates predicted or observed in the present community sample. Results support the psychometric properties of the VRS-SO, a sexual violence risk assessment and treatment planning measure, to a community outpatient sample. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

摘要

本研究在一个 200 名男性样本中,对社区监督性侵犯者进行了研究,他们正在接受法医社区门诊服务,并在平均 8.6 年后进行了随访。该研究采用了暴力风险量表-性犯罪版本(VRS-SO)的得分,对社区门诊服务中的 200 名性犯罪者进行了评估。VRS-SO 及另外两项动态性犯罪复发风险评估工具-STABLE 2007 和性犯罪者治疗干预与进展量表(SOTIPS),从门诊档案中进行了存档编码;静态-99R 评分从皇家骑警记录中提取。VRS-SO 的静态、动态和总分与风险评估工具的总分和子量表得分呈预期的聚合模式。此外,VRS-SO 动态项目得分的验证性因素分析表明,对于先前验证性因素分析一致的相关三因素模型,该模型具有可接受的拟合度。鉴别分析表明,VRS-SO 动态和总分以及 STABLE 2007 评分对 5 年性犯罪复发具有较大的预测效果(曲线下面积[AUCs] =.71-.72),而 SOTIPS 对这一结果的预测效果中等(AUC =.67);这些评估工具对非性犯罪复发的预测效果为中等至较大。Cox 回归生存分析表明,VRS-SO 动态、性变态因子和 SOTIPS 评分在控制静态-99R 或 VRS-SO 静态因子评分的情况下,均能递增性地预测性犯罪复发。VRS-SO 校准分析表明,预计或预测的 5 年性犯罪复发率与本社区样本中预测或观察到的率有较好的对应关系。结果支持 VRS-SO 的心理测量学特性,VRS-SO 是一种性暴力风险评估和治疗计划工具,适用于社区门诊样本。(PsycInfo 数据库记录(c)2024 APA,保留所有权利)。

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