Sukul Devraj, Ryan Andrew M, Yan Phyllis, Markovitz Adam, Nallamothu Brahmajee K, Lewis Valerie A, Hollingsworth John M
Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Samuel and Jean Frankel Cardiovascular Center (D.S., B.K.N.), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
Department of Health Management and Policy, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor (A.M.R., A.M., J.M.H.).
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2019 Sep;12(9):e005438. doi: 10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.118.005438. Epub 2019 Sep 16.
Despite widespread adoption of Medicare accountable care organizations (ACOs), healthcare spending reductions have been modest. This may relate to variable participation in ACOs by specialist physicians, who disproportionately drive spending. To examine whether specialist participation in Medicare ACOs was associated with changes in healthcare spending and clinical quality, we analyzed national Medicare data.
Working with a 20% random sample of Medicare beneficiaries (2008 to 2015), we identified those with cardiovascular disease. We estimated linear regression models at the beneficiary-quarter level to evaluate changes in healthcare spending and clinical quality after the start of the Shared Savings Program in 2012. We then examined whether changes in spending and quality across ACOs were conditional on cardiologist participation. Our study included ≈1.6 million beneficiaries per year. Although the number of ACOs increased over the study period (from 114 in 2012 to 392 in 2015), the proportion with any cardiologist participation remained stable (from 80% in 2012 to 83% in 2015). Compared with unaligned beneficiaries, those cared for by ACOs without cardiologist participation were associated with a spending reduction (per quarter) of -$75 (95% CI, -$105 to -$46; <0.001). Care receipt in an ACO with cardiologist participation was associated with an additional difference in spending of -$56 (95% CI, -$87 to -$25; <0.001), driven by lower spending for skilled nursing facilities, evaluation and management services, procedural care, and testing. While heart failure admission rates were similar among aligned and unaligned beneficiaries, ACO care was associated with fewer all-cause readmissions (<0.001) and emergency department visits (<0.001). Rates of these outcomes did not vary by cardiologist participation.
Annual spending for beneficiaries with cardiovascular disease was ≈$200 lower when cared for by ACOs with cardiologist participation (compared with those without). These spending reductions did not come at the expense of clinical quality.
尽管医疗保险责任医疗组织(ACO)已被广泛采用,但医疗保健支出的减少幅度不大。这可能与专科医生对ACO的参与程度不同有关,专科医生在医疗支出中占比过高。为了研究专科医生参与医疗保险ACO是否与医疗保健支出和临床质量的变化有关,我们分析了全国医疗保险数据。
我们使用20%的医疗保险受益人的随机样本(2008年至2015年),确定患有心血管疾病的患者。我们在受益季度层面估计线性回归模型,以评估2012年共享节约计划启动后医疗保健支出和临床质量的变化。然后,我们研究了ACO之间支出和质量的变化是否取决于心脏病专家的参与情况。我们的研究每年纳入约160万受益人。尽管在研究期间ACO的数量有所增加(从2012年的114个增加到2015年的392个),但有心脏病专家参与的ACO的比例保持稳定(从2012年的80%增加到2015年的83%)。与未加入ACO的受益人相比,由没有心脏病专家参与的ACO护理的受益人每季度支出减少75美元(95%CI,-105美元至-46美元;<0.001)。由有心脏病专家参与的ACO提供护理与支出额外减少56美元(95%CI,-87美元至-25美元;<0.001)相关,这是由于熟练护理设施、评估和管理服务、程序护理和检查的支出较低。虽然加入ACO和未加入ACO的受益人中心力衰竭住院率相似,但ACO护理与全因再入院率较低(<0.001)和急诊就诊次数较少(<0.001)相关。这些结果的发生率不因心脏病专家的参与而有所不同。
与没有心脏病专家参与的ACO相比,由有心脏病专家参与的ACO护理的心血管疾病受益人每年的支出约低200美元。这些支出的减少并没有以临床质量为代价。