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1961 年至 2016 年中国黄淮海流域降水的空间分布。

Spatial Distribution of Precipitation in Huang-Huai-Hai River Basin between 1961 to 2016, China.

机构信息

General Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Planning and Design, Ministry of Water Resources, Beijing 100120, China.

Department of Water Resources, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Sep 13;16(18):3404. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16183404.

Abstract

The Huang-huai-hai River Basin is one of the most economically developed areas, but is also heavily impacted by drought and flood disasters. Research on the precipitation feature of the Huang-huai-hai River Basin is of great importance to the further discussion of the cause of flood disaster. Based on the selected meteorological stations of the study area from 1961-2016, the inverse distance weighting method was used to get daily precipitation grid data. Interannual variation of precipitation intensity and cover area of different precipitation classes was analyzed. The generalized extreme-value distribution method was used to analyze the spatial distribution of extreme precipitation. The results show that: (1) decrease of accumulated precipitation in light precipitation year and moderate precipitation year might be the reason why the precipitation in the whole basin decreased, but the coefficient of variation (CV) of different classes of precipitation and precipitation days does not change significantly; (2) since the cover area of precipitation > 50 mm and precipitation intensity both decreased, the extreme precipitation of the whole basin may be decreasing; (3) extreme precipitation mainly occurred in the loess plateau in the northeast of Huang-huai-hai River Basin, Dabieshan in the middle of Huang-huai-hai River Basin and other areas.

摘要

黄淮海流域是中国经济最发达的地区之一,但也是旱涝灾害频发的地区。研究黄淮海流域的降水特征对进一步探讨洪涝灾害的成因具有重要意义。本研究选取了研究区 1961-2016 年的气象站点,采用反距离权重法获取了逐日降水格点数据,分析了不同降水等级的降水强度和覆盖面积的年际变化,采用广义极值分布法分析了极端降水的空间分布。结果表明:(1)轻雨年和中雨年的累积降水量减少可能是整个流域降水量减少的原因,但不同降水等级和降水日的变异系数(CV)变化不明显;(2)由于>50mm 降水和降水强度的覆盖面积均减少,整个流域的极端降水可能在减少;(3)极端降水主要发生在黄淮海流域东北部的黄土高原、黄淮海流域中部的大别山等地区。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0f9e/6765816/90d4b56dcf72/ijerph-16-03404-g001.jpg

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