Knipper Sophie, Dzyuba-Negrean Cristina, Palumbo Carlotta, Pecoraro Angela, Rosiello Giuseppe, Tian Zhe, Briganti Alberto, Saad Fred, Tilki Derya, Graefen Markus, Karakiewicz Pierre I
Martini-Klinik Prostate Cancer Center, University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistraße 52, 20246, Hamburg, Germany.
Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Int Urol Nephrol. 2020 Jan;52(1):59-66. doi: 10.1007/s11255-019-02284-1. Epub 2019 Sep 21.
There is no contemporary proof of cancer-control benefits in octogenarian clinically localized prostate cancer (PCa) patients with life expectancy (LE) < 10 years. Therefore, cancer-specific mortality (CSM) rates after external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) vs. no local treatment (NLT) were tested in octogenarian PCa patients with LE < 10 years.
Within the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database (2004-2015), we identified 22,361 octogenarian clinically localized PCa patients who either received EBRT or NLT. Temporal trends, cumulative incidence plots and multivariable competing-risks regression analyses (MCR) were used after propensity score matching. Sensitivity analyses were performed according to D'Amico risk groups and LE > 5 years.
Of all, 7325 (32.8%) received EBRT vs. 15,036 (67.2%) received NLT. Rates of EBRT significantly increased over time (25.0-42.4%). Overall, 10-year CSM rates were 10.6% vs. 17.0% and 10-year other-cause mortality rates were 50.3% vs. 58.1%, in EBRT vs. NLT patients (both p < 0.001). In MCR focusing on the overall cohort, EBRT represented an independent predictor of lower CSM (hazard ratio: 0.5). In sensitivity analyses, hazard ratios of 0.5 (p < 0.001), 0.5 (p < 0.001) and 0.8 (p = 0.5) were, respectively, recorded in D'Amico high-, intermediate- and low-risk patients. In sensitivity analyses addressing patients with LE > 5 years virtually the same results were recorded.
In octogenarian patients with LE < 10 years, EBRT seems to be associated with lower CSM in D'Amico high-risk, as well as in D'Amico intermediate-risk patients relative to their NLT counterparts. Based on these observations, greater consideration for EBRT may be given in octogenarian patients.
目前尚无当代证据表明,预期寿命(LE)<10年的八旬老人临床局限性前列腺癌(PCa)患者能从癌症控制中获益。因此,我们对LE<10年的八旬老人PCa患者接受外照射放疗(EBRT)与未接受局部治疗(NLT)后的癌症特异性死亡率(CSM)进行了测试。
在监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库(2004 - 2015年)中,我们识别出22361例接受EBRT或NLT的八旬老人临床局限性PCa患者。在倾向得分匹配后,使用时间趋势、累积发病率图和多变量竞争风险回归分析(MCR)。根据达米科风险组和LE>5年进行敏感性分析。
其中,7325例(32.8%)接受了EBRT,15036例(67.2%)接受了NLT。EBRT的比例随时间显著增加(25.0 - 42.4%)。总体而言,EBRT组与NLT组患者的10年CSM率分别为10.6%和17.0%,10年其他原因死亡率分别为50.3%和58.1%(均p<0.001)。在针对整个队列的MCR中,EBRT是较低CSM的独立预测因素(风险比:0.5)。在敏感性分析中,达米科高风险、中风险和低风险患者的风险比分别为0.5(p<0.001)、0.5(p<0.001)和0.8(p = 0.5)。在针对LE>5年患者的敏感性分析中,记录到了几乎相同的结果。
在LE<10年的八旬老人患者中,相对于未接受局部治疗的患者,EBRT似乎与达米科高风险以及中风险患者较低的CSM相关。基于这些观察结果,对于八旬老人患者,可能应更多地考虑EBRT。