Facultad de Economía, Gobierno y Comunicaciones, Universidad Central de Chile, Lord Cochrane 417, Santiago, Chile.
Departamento de Economía, Universidad de Santiago de Chile, Av. Lib. O'Higgins 3363, Santiago, Chile.
Econ Hum Biol. 2020 Jan;36:100815. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2019.100815. Epub 2019 Sep 19.
We study whether exposure to earthquake affects health at birth. A mother-fixed-effect model together with the spatiotemporal variation of earthquakes in Chile allow us to better estimate the impacts on birth outcomes. Our findings show that exposure to earthquakes affects fetal growth. Infants born to mothers exposed to earthquakes in the second trimester are 1.8% more likely to be large for gestational age (LGA), which is a large effect from a baseline of 7% of LGA newborns. The reported impact varies across mothers' socioeconomic status, with relatively poorer Chilean mothers being more vulnerable to earthquakes. A possible mechanism that explains these results could work through changes in the incidence of women with diabetes. We provide indirect evidence in this regard. Mothers with diabetes are more likely to have large-for-gestational-age babies. Exposure to earthquakes increases the incidence of diabetes among the affected population, with the observed impact on diabetes being relatively higher among women of lower socioeconomic status.
我们研究了地震暴露是否会对出生时的健康产生影响。母亲固定效应模型以及智利地震的时空变化使我们能够更好地估计对生育结果的影响。我们的研究结果表明,地震暴露会影响胎儿生长。与未暴露于地震的母亲相比,在妊娠中期暴露于地震的母亲所生的婴儿,其巨大儿(LGA)的可能性增加 1.8%,而 LGA 新生儿的基线比例为 7%,这是一个很大的影响。报告的影响因母亲的社会经济地位而异,相对较贫困的智利母亲更容易受到地震的影响。一种可能的解释这些结果的机制可能是通过糖尿病妇女发病率的变化起作用。我们在这方面提供了间接证据。患有糖尿病的母亲更有可能生下巨大儿。地震暴露会增加受影响人群中糖尿病的发病率,而在社会经济地位较低的女性中,观察到的糖尿病发病率相对较高。