Peng Wenhua, Zhang Channa, Wang Zhijun, Yang Wenqi, Luo He, Li Xiaofeng, Fu Dongliang, Yu Changan, Zhou Yifeng
Cardiology Department, China-Japan Friendship Hospital.
State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, Chinese Academy of Medical Science. Beijing.
Medicine (Baltimore). 2019 Sep;98(39):e16982. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000016982.
To investigate factors predicting the onset of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) for patients with non-ST-segment elevation infarction (NSTEMI) and single concomitant chronic total occlusion (CTO). Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) both play essential role in cardiovascular and cerebrovascular homoeostasis. However, current knowledge of its predictive prognostic value is limited.422 patients with NSTEMI and CTO (59.7 ± 12.4 years, 74.2% men) who underwent successful pPCI were enrolled and followed for 2 years. Multivariate cox regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were performed to determine the factors predicting MACCEs.140 patients (33.2%) experienced MACCEs in the follow-up period. Multivariate cox regression analysis found when we process the model with NGAL at admission, low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF, HR = 0.963, 95% CI 0.940 to 0.987, P = .003) and fasting blood glucose (HR = 1.078, 95% CI 1.002 to 1.159, P = .044), but not NGAL at admission, were independent predictors of 2 years MACCEs. While HbA1C (HR = 1.119, 95% CI 1.014 to 1.234, P = .025), LVEF (HR = 0.963, 95% CI 0.939 to 0.987, P = .003), estimated glomerular filtration rate (HR = 1.020, 95% CI 1.006 to 1.035, P = .006) and NGAL value 7 day (HR = 1.020, 95% CI 1.006 to 1.035, P = .006) showed their predictive value in another model. ROC analysis indicated NGAL 7 day (AUC = 0.680, P = .0054 and AUC = 0.622, P = .0005) and LVEF (AUC = 0.691, P = .0298 and AUC = 0.605, P = .0021) could predict both in-hospital and 2 years MACCEs, while higher NGAL at admission could only predict poorer in-hospital prognosis (AUC = 0.665, P = .0103). Further analysis showed the prognostic value of NGAL was particularly remarkable among those HbA1C<6.5%.Patients with NSTEMI and single concomitant CTO receiving pPCI with higher NGAL on 7 days during hospitalization are more likely to suffer 2 years MACCEs, particularly in those with lower HbA1C.
为了研究非ST段抬高型心肌梗死(NSTEMI)合并单一慢性完全闭塞(CTO)患者在接受直接经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(pPCI)后发生主要不良心血管和脑血管事件(MACCE)的预测因素。中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白(NGAL)和糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)在心血管和脑血管稳态中均发挥重要作用。然而,目前关于其预测预后价值的认识有限。纳入422例成功接受pPCI的NSTEMI合并CTO患者(年龄59.7±12.4岁,男性占74.2%),并随访2年。进行多变量Cox回归分析和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析以确定预测MACCE的因素。140例患者(33.2%)在随访期间发生MACCE。多变量Cox回归分析发现,当在模型中纳入入院时的NGAL时,低左心室射血分数(LVEF,HR = 0.963,95%CI 0.940至0.987,P = 0.003)和空腹血糖(HR = 1.078,95%CI 1.002至1.159,P = 0.044)是2年MACCE的独立预测因素,而入院时的NGAL不是。在另一个模型中,HbA1C(HR = 1.119,95%CI 1.014至1.234,P = 0.025)、LVEF(HR = 0.963,95%CI 0.939至0.987,P = 0.003)、估算肾小球滤过率(HR = 1.020,95%CI 1.006至1.035,P = 0.006)和第7天的NGAL值(HR = 1.020,95%CI 1.006至1.035,P = 0.006)显示出其预测价值。ROC分析表明,第7天的NGAL(AUC = 0.680,P = 0.0054和AUC = 0.622,P = 0.0005)和LVEF(AUC = 0.691,P = 0.0298和AUC = 0.605,P = 0.0021)可预测住院期间和2年的MACCE,而入院时较高的NGAL仅可预测较差的住院预后(AUC = 0.665,P = 0.0103)。进一步分析表明,在HbA1C<6.5%的患者中,NGAL的预后价值尤为显著。住院期间第7天NGAL较高的NSTEMI合并单一CTO且接受pPCI的患者更易发生2年MACCE,尤其是在HbA1C较低的患者中。