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环境恶化:电力消耗、经济增长和全球化的作用。

Environmental degradation: The role of electricity consumption, economic growth and globalisation.

机构信息

School of Commerce, University of Southern Queensland, QLD, 4350, Australia.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2020 Jan 1;253:109742. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109742. Epub 2019 Oct 28.

Abstract

This paper examines the effects of electricity consumption, economic growth and globalisation on the CO emissions of top 10 electricity consuming countries. Taking annual data from 1971 to 2013, a panel cointegration approach is adopted where Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) methods are used to examine the long-run effects. Dumitrescu and Hurlin causality test is used to explore the directions of causality between the variables of interest. The empirical results reveal that there is a long-term association among these variables; and electricity consumption and economic growth positively and significantly affect the CO emissions in these countries. In contrast, globalisation has significant negative impact on the CO emissions implying the improvement of environmental quality. The findings also confirm the existence of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, the bidirectional causalities between economic growth and CO emissions, between electricity consumption and CO emissions, and between globalisation and economic growth in the sample countries. A unidirectional causality from economic growth to electricity consumption, from electricity consumption to globalisation and from globalisation to CO emissions is also found. Policy guidelines are suggested in line of the findings.

摘要

本文考察了电力消费、经济增长和全球化对十大电力消费国二氧化碳排放的影响。本文采用 1971 年至 2013 年的年度数据,采用面板协整方法,使用全修正最小二乘法(FMOLS)和动态最小二乘法(DOLS)来检验长期效应。采用 Dumitrescu 和 Hurlin 因果检验来探索感兴趣变量之间的因果关系方向。实证结果表明,这些变量之间存在长期关联;电力消费和经济增长对这些国家的二氧化碳排放有正向显著影响。相比之下,全球化对二氧化碳排放有显著的负向影响,这意味着环境质量得到了改善。研究结果还证实了环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说、样本国家中经济增长与二氧化碳排放、电力消费与二氧化碳排放以及全球化与经济增长之间的双向因果关系的存在。还发现了从经济增长到电力消费、从电力消费到全球化以及从全球化到二氧化碳排放的单向因果关系。根据研究结果提出了政策建议。

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