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利用脱钩指数分析中国成都的农业经济与农业污染

Analysis of the Agricultural Economy and Agricultural Pollution Using the Decoupling Index in Chengdu, China.

机构信息

Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, China.

Chinese Studies Center, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Oct 31;16(21):4233. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16214233.

Abstract

The development of the agricultural economy has brought the agricultural pollution, and agricultural pollution has restrained the growth of the agricultural economy and endangered public health. Since the Economic Reform opened up, China has promulgated many policies that have benefited farmers, developed the agricultural economy, and improved agricultural material levels. However, the growth in the agricultural economy has also resulted in significant environmental pollution from pesticides, agricultural fertilizers and agricultural plastic film. Agricultural pollution can affect public health, therefore it is necessary to study the relationship between agricultural economy and agricultural pollution. In this paper, the relationship between the agricultural economy and agricultural pollution is studied by using decoupling index method, taking Chengdu, Sichuan Province, China as an example, and verified by the data of 2008-2017 years of Chengdu. It was found that the decoupling index for pesticide use and per capita gross agricultural production showed "strong decoupling" ideal states in six years. From 2009-2017, the value of it increased from 0.065743-1.597385, and its decoupling state gradually transited to stable strong decoupling. The chemical fertilizer use was found to have a "strong decoupling" ideal state in five years. The value of it decreased from 1.028854-(-0.512702), while its state gradually changed to strong decoupling. However, agricultural plastic film only has one "strong decoupling" state with its value of decoupling index changed from -0.380824-(-0.250250). The increased use of plastic film has resulted in increased agricultural pollution. The research results show that growing with the development of Chengdu's agricultural economy, the use of pesticides and fertilizers has been decreasing. Chengdu's agricultural economy and agricultural pollution were found to have a healthy and coordinated development. The development of agricultural economy has not caused much damage to the agricultural environment. In addition, with the decline of agricultural pollution, public health problems will also be reduced.

摘要

农业经济的发展带来了农业污染,而农业污染又制约了农业经济的增长,威胁着公众健康。改革开放以来,中国颁布了许多有利于农民、发展农业经济、提高农业物质水平的政策。然而,农业经济的增长也导致了农药、农业化肥和农用塑料薄膜的大量环境污染。农业污染会影响公众健康,因此有必要研究农业经济与农业污染的关系。本文利用脱钩指数法,以四川省成都市为例,对 2008-2017 年成都市的数据进行验证,研究了农业经济与农业污染的关系。结果表明,农药用量与人均农业生产总值的脱钩指数在六年中呈现“强脱钩”理想状态。从 2009 年到 2017 年,其值从 0.065743 增加到 1.597385,脱钩状态逐渐过渡到稳定的强脱钩。化肥用量在五年内呈现“强脱钩”理想状态。其值从 1.028854 减少到(-0.512702),其状态逐渐转变为强脱钩。然而,农用塑料薄膜只有一个“强脱钩”状态,其脱钩指数的变化值为-0.380824-(-0.250250)。农用塑料薄膜用量的增加导致了农业污染的增加。研究结果表明,随着成都农业经济的发展,农药和化肥的使用量呈下降趋势。成都农业经济与农业污染呈健康协调发展态势。农业经济的发展并未对农业环境造成较大破坏。此外,随着农业污染的减少,公众健康问题也将减少。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1e41/6862317/a280f14c8bad/ijerph-16-04233-g001.jpg

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