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qSOFA评分对泰国社区获得性葡萄球菌感染成人脓毒症的预测效度

Predictive Validity of the qSOFA Score for Sepsis in Adults with Community-Onset Staphylococcal Infection in Thailand.

作者信息

Gupta Supaksh, Rudd Kristina E, Tandhavanant Sarunporn, Suntornsut Pornpan, Chetchotisakd Ploenchan, Angus Derek C, Peacock Sharon J, Chantratita Narisara, West Timothy Eoin

机构信息

Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.

Division of Pulmonary, Sleep, and Critical Care Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.

出版信息

J Clin Med. 2019 Nov 7;8(11):1908. doi: 10.3390/jcm8111908.

Abstract

The quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score has had limited validation in lower resource settings and was developed using data from high-income countries. We sought to evaluate the predictive validity of the qSOFA score for sepsis within a low- and middle-income country (LMIC) population with culture-proven staphylococcal infection. This was a secondary analysis of a prospective multicenter cohort in Thailand with culture-positive infection due to or within 24 h of admission and positive (≥2/4) systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria. Primary exposure was maximum qSOFA score within 48 h of culture collection and primary outcome was mortality at 28 days. Baseline risk of mortality was determined using a multivariable logistic regression model with age, gender, and co-morbidities significantly associated with the outcome. Predictive validity was assessed by discrimination of mortality using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve compared to a model using baseline risk factors alone. Of 253 patients (mean age 54 years (SD 16)) included in the analysis, 23 (9.1%) died by 28 days after enrollment. Of those who died, 0 (0%) had a qSOFA score of 0, 8 (35%) had a score of 1, and 15 (65%) had a score ≥2. The AUROC of qSOFA plus baseline risk was significantly greater than for the baseline risk model alone (AUROC = 0.80 (95% CI, 0.70-0.89), AUROC = 0.62 (95% CI, 0.49-0.75); < 0.001). Among adults admitted to four Thai hospitals with community-onset coagulase-positive staphylococcal infection and SIRS, the qSOFA score had good predictive validity for sepsis.

摘要

快速序贯器官衰竭评估(qSOFA)评分在资源匮乏地区的验证有限,且是使用高收入国家的数据开发的。我们试图评估qSOFA评分在中低收入国家(LMIC)确诊为葡萄球菌感染人群中对脓毒症的预测效度。这是对泰国一项前瞻性多中心队列研究的二次分析,该队列研究纳入了入院时或入院24小时内培养阳性感染且符合阳性(≥2/4)全身炎症反应综合征(SIRS)标准的患者。主要暴露因素是培养标本采集后48小时内的最高qSOFA评分,主要结局是28天死亡率。使用多变量逻辑回归模型确定死亡率的基线风险,年龄、性别和合并症与结局显著相关。通过比较使用qSOFA评分加基线风险因素模型与仅使用基线风险因素模型的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)来评估预测效度。在纳入分析的253例患者(平均年龄54岁(标准差16))中,23例(9.1%)在入组后28天内死亡。在死亡患者中,0例(0%)的qSOFA评分为0,8例(35%)评分为1,15例(65%)评分≥2。qSOFA评分加基线风险因素模型的AUROC显著高于仅使用基线风险因素模型(AUROC = 0.80(95%CI,0.70 - 0.89),AUROC = 0.62(95%CI,0.49 - 0.75);P < 0.001)。在四家泰国医院收治的社区获得性凝固酶阳性葡萄球菌感染且伴有SIRS的成人患者中,qSOFA评分对脓毒症具有良好的预测效度。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9875/6912656/44b108cdab48/jcm-08-01908-g001.jpg

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