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英国英格兰地区的天气模式与全因死亡率。

Weather patterns and all-cause mortality in England, UK.

机构信息

Department of Forestry and Management of the Environment and Natural Resources, Democritus University of Thrace, Orestiada, Greece.

Department of Geography, Durham University, Durham, UK.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2020 Jan;64(1):123-136. doi: 10.1007/s00484-019-01803-0. Epub 2019 Nov 9.

DOI:10.1007/s00484-019-01803-0
PMID:31707494
Abstract

Cold- and heat-related mortality poses significant public health concerns worldwide. Although there are numerous studies dealing with the association between extreme ambient temperature and mortality, only a small number adopt a synoptic climatological approach in order to understand the nature of weather systems that precipitate increases in cold- or heat-related mortality. In this paper, the Lamb Weather Type synoptic classification is used to examine the relationship between daily mortality and weather patterns across nine regions of England. Analysis results revealed that the population in England is more susceptible to cold weather. Furthermore, it was found that the Easterly weather types are the most hazardous for public health all-year-long; however, during the cold period, the results are more evident and spatially homogenous. Nevertheless, it is noteworthy that the most dangerous weather conditions are not always associated with extreme (high or low) temperatures, a finding which points to the complexity of weather-related health effects and highlights the importance of a synoptic climatological approach in elucidating the relationship between temperature and mortality.

摘要

冷、热相关死亡对全球公共卫生构成重大威胁。尽管有许多研究涉及极端环境温度与死亡率之间的关系,但只有少数研究采用天气综合气候学方法来了解导致冷或热相关死亡人数增加的天气系统的性质。本文使用兰姆天气类型天气综合分类法,研究了英格兰九个地区的每日死亡率与天气模式之间的关系。分析结果表明,英格兰的人口更容易受到冷空气的影响。此外,研究还发现,全年中东风天气类型对公共健康最危险;然而,在寒冷时期,结果更加明显且空间上均匀。然而,值得注意的是,最危险的天气条件并不总是与极端(高或低)温度相关,这一发现表明与天气相关的健康影响的复杂性,并强调了天气综合气候学方法在阐明温度与死亡率之间关系的重要性。

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本文引用的文献

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The health effects of hotter summers and heat waves in the population of the United Kingdom: a review of the evidence.英国人口中更炎热的夏季和热浪对健康的影响:证据综述。
Environ Health. 2017 Dec 5;16(Suppl 1):119. doi: 10.1186/s12940-017-0322-5.
2
Analysis of the synoptic winter mortality climatology in five regions of England: Searching for evidence of weather signals.英格兰五个地区的冬季综合死亡率气候分析:寻找天气信号的证据。
Sci Total Environ. 2017 Nov 15;598:432-444. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.276. Epub 2017 Apr 25.
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Impact of ambient temperature on morbidity and mortality: An overview of reviews.
更高的温度、更高的太阳辐射和更低的湿度与 COVID-19 患者的临床和实验室不良结局相关。
Front Public Health. 2021 Mar 19;9:618828. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.618828. eCollection 2021.
环境温度对发病率和死亡率的影响:综述概述。
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Sci Total Environ. 2016 Nov 1;569-570:627-633. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.138. Epub 2016 Jul 1.
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